@maxwiethe maxwiethe
Macro-thematic commentator quantifying cross-asset and semis-vs-software relative-value spreads
Posts macro and thematic frameworks plus relative-performanc
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY. · Analyst brief as of 2026-06-22.
Across their last 7 scored bets: 71% hit rate, +0.57% mean alpha, trader score +0.28. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -1.2% since posting (mean over 3 mentions with price data).
Max Wiethe is focused on AI adoption translating into sustained compute demand, while also comparing semiconductor ETF performance through SMH and SOXX. The only explicitly constructive ticker-linked theme is an industrial renaissance basket tied to RSHO and VOLT, driven by manufacturing, electrification, and AI. No position disclosures, directional calls, or late-week trade pivots appeared in the provided window.
The window shows consistent attention to AI usage economics and compute demand, plus neutral semiconductor ETF comparison work around SOXX and SMH. Ticker-linked bullishness is concentrated in the RSHO and VOLT industrial renaissance basket, with no disclosed adds, trims, exits, or explicit directional trade calls. There is no evidence of a flip, fading, or intensifying conviction beyond a new late-window thematic basket.
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | BTC | @maxwiethe | -0.55 | Argues BTC intrinsic value is declining with each cycle. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | BTC | @maxwiethe | -0.55 | Argues BTC intrinsic value is declining with each cycle. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | · | @maxwiethe | · | EOW price target is 177.60 — States an end-of-week price target but no ticker is provided. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | · | @maxwiethe | · | Podcast agenda on IPO cycles, private markets, AI exposure, and investor returns. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-24 | SPY | @maxwiethe | +0.00 | Podcast discussion of SMA platform, model portfolios, execution and SPY portfolio fit. | +1.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-22 | QQQ | @maxwiethe | +0.00 | Mag 7 ETF down YTD and struggling versus QQQ, violating bull-market skeptic narrative. | -3.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-22 | MAGS | @maxwiethe | -0.35 | Mag 7 ETF down YTD and struggling versus QQQ, violating bull-market skeptic narrative. | +1.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-19 | VOLT | @maxwiethe | +0.35 | Industrial renaissance theme driven by manufacturing, electrification and AI tied to RSHO and VOLT. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-19 | RSHO | @maxwiethe | +0.35 | Industrial renaissance theme driven by manufacturing, electrification and AI tied to RSHO and VOLT. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-19 | · | @maxwiethe | · | Says news is bearish for oil and bullish for stocks due to chance to end war. | · | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.