Author

@maxwiethe maxwiethe

Macro-thematic commentator quantifying cross-asset and semis-vs-software relative-value spreads

Posts macro and thematic frameworks plus relative-performanc

trader score
·
hit rate
·
mean α
·
signals 14d
5

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Not yet in the scored-bets universe (fewer than 20 scoreable calls).

Recent signals5receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-08-28·@maxwiethe·Interprets Warsh's hawkishness as an effort to gradually price a pause-constrained policy path.·
2026-08-28·@maxwiethe·Relays Warren Pies's view that dovish FOMC pricing understates macro risk and stocks merit neutral weight.·
2026-08-26·@maxwiethe·Suggests policymakers may guide markets toward higher odds of a rate hike·
2026-08-25·@maxwiethe·Argues macro risk now warrants reducing equity exposure after earnings strength.·
2026-08-24·@maxwiethe·Podcast overview covers private-credit stress, M&A, IPOs, rates and software credit risk.·

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.