@Mr_Derivatives Mr_Derivatives
High-cadence anon tape trader calling mega-cap tech/semis swings with chart and cross-asset framing
Posts a constant stream of real-time, tickered swing and int
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY. · Analyst brief as of 2026-06-22.
Across their last 20 scored bets: 25% hit rate, -4.25% mean alpha, trader score -4.33. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -2.8% since posting (mean over 293 mentions with price data).
Mr_Derivatives is trading high-beta momentum around SPCX, HIMS, semis and memory, while explicitly adding MSFT as an unloved mega-cap laggard. His distinctive read is that memory/storage has become the new leadership basket, while SPCX moved from upside magnet to valuation concern late in the window. The clearest action signal was buying more MSFT; the biggest thematic concentration remains SPCX.
Conviction is concentrated in SPCX, memory/storage, semis, and laggard mega-cap rebound candidates, with an explicit MSFT add as the cleanest trade action. SPCX flipped from target-chasing and ETF/options catalyst enthusiasm to valuation skepticism after the move, creating the clearest late-week tone shift. Memory/storage enthusiasm intensified into MU earnings and SNDK strength, while index seasonality stayed broadly bullish with VIX spikes framed as shorts.
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-02 | QQQ | @Mr_Derivatives | -0.10 | Notes SPY/QQQ dropped on prior Trump NYSE bell day; invites extrapolation. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | SPY | @Mr_Derivatives | -0.10 | Notes SPY/QQQ dropped on prior Trump NYSE bell day; invites extrapolation. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | SPX | @Mr_Derivatives | +0.20 | Seasonality data: July 13 green years out of 14 before more volatile months. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | AMD | @Mr_Derivatives | +0.00 | MRNA at fresh near two-year high, up 160% YTD and 8th best S&P 500 performer. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | MRNA | @Mr_Derivatives | +0.45 | MRNA at fresh near two-year high, up 160% YTD and 8th best S&P 500 performer. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | RSP | @Mr_Derivatives | +0.40 | Notes DIA and RSP at ATH, VIX low, and frames memory-stock weakness as healthy rotation. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | VIX | @Mr_Derivatives | -0.20 | Notes DIA and RSP at ATH, VIX low, and frames memory-stock weakness as healthy rotation. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | DIA | @Mr_Derivatives | +0.40 | Notes DIA and RSP at ATH, VIX low, and frames memory-stock weakness as healthy rotation. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | MU | @Mr_Derivatives | +0.55 | Suggests MU may rally like DELL after Trump promoted it. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | DELL | @Mr_Derivatives | +0.40 | Suggests MU may rally like DELL after Trump promoted it. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | NBIS | @Mr_Derivatives | +0.25 | After 30% drawdown, asks whether buying opportunity is soon. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | · | @Mr_Derivatives | · | Reports recession odds faded from 32% to 12%. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | STX | @Mr_Derivatives | -0.50 | Both WDC and STX cracking below the 50DMA. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | WDC | @Mr_Derivatives | -0.50 | Both WDC and STX cracking below the 50DMA. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | DRAM | @Mr_Derivatives | -0.55 | Describes brutal back-to-back selloff in DRAM. | · | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.