Author

@semicon_eng1 semicon_eng1

Memory/NAND value-chain specialist with mechanistic, second-order supply-chain reasoning

Bottom-up and thematic semiconductor analysis centered on me

trader score
-1.38
hit rate
45%
mean α
-0.75%
signals 14d
238

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 20 scored bets: 45% hit rate, -0.75% mean alpha, trader score -1.38. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -3.5% since posting (mean over 110 mentions with price data).

Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-08-28SNDK@semicon_eng1-0.35Micron, SanDisk and SK Hynix are roughly flat, while semiconductor stocks broadly are described as performing badly.
2026-08-28SKHY@semicon_eng1-0.35Micron, SanDisk and SK Hynix are roughly flat, while semiconductor stocks broadly are described as performing badly.·
2026-08-28MU@semicon_eng1-0.40Micron, SanDisk and SK Hynix are roughly flat, while semiconductor stocks broadly are described as performing badly.
2026-08-28·@semicon_eng1·Provides the scheduled time for Fed Chair Warsh's Jackson Hole speech.·
2026-08-28ASX@semicon_eng1+0.30Describes ASX as a relatively stable semiconductor name gaining attention in packaging.
2026-08-27·@semicon_eng1·Notes Kioxia fell below ¥50,000 and warns investors who concentrated heavily may face difficulty.·
2026-08-27·@semicon_eng1·May add to Kioxia if it falls below ¥50,000. — Conditional forward add intent at a stated price, but no ticker is provided.·
2026-08-27285A@semicon_eng1-0.20Kioxia indications are described as weak with Jackson Hole limiting market movement.·
2026-08-27NVDA@semicon_eng1+0.50Builds a bullish AI-infrastructure basket from Nvidia ACIE growth spreading beyond hyperscalers.-4.6%
2026-08-27SNDK@semicon_eng1+0.50Builds a bullish AI-infrastructure basket from Nvidia ACIE growth spreading beyond hyperscalers.+0.0%
2026-08-27AVGO@semicon_eng1+0.50Builds a bullish AI-infrastructure basket from Nvidia ACIE growth spreading beyond hyperscalers.-0.7%
2026-08-27MU@semicon_eng1+0.50Builds a bullish AI-infrastructure basket from Nvidia ACIE growth spreading beyond hyperscalers.-0.3%
2026-08-27CRWV@semicon_eng1+0.50Builds a bullish AI-infrastructure basket from Nvidia ACIE growth spreading beyond hyperscalers.-3.0%
2026-08-27AMD@semicon_eng1+0.50Builds a bullish AI-infrastructure basket from Nvidia ACIE growth spreading beyond hyperscalers.-2.3%
2026-08-27NVDA@semicon_eng1+0.40Calls Nvidia's ACIE segment extremely important alongside hyperscalers.-4.6%

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.