@TgMacro TgMacro
Named macro trader reading cross-asset intermarket battles for regime and bubble signals
Posts short, real-time cross-asset macro takes — directional
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY. · Analyst brief as of 2026-06-22.
Across their last 11 scored bets: 45% hit rate, +0.26% mean alpha, trader score +0.35. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -6.3% since posting (mean over 1 mentions with price data).
TgMacro is primarily expressing a 3-6 month pair trade: long resources and cyclicals via XLE, REMX, GDX, and XME, while short or underweight SMH and SPCX. The distinctive read is macro rotation away from semis/SPAC beta toward hard-asset exposure, with a separate negative view on NKE and apparel. There is no clear intra-window flip; the strongest late-week reinforcement is SPCX being called down 22% from highs and in a bear market.
The window is dominated by one explicit pair trade: long resources and cyclical breakouts, bearish SMH and SPCX over a 3-6 month horizon. There is no evidence of a position flip or disclosed adds/trims, but SPCX bearishness is reinforced by the later note that it is down 22% from highs and in a bear market. Concentration is highest in the resources-versus-growth rotation call, while the NKE/apparel view is a lower-evidence side note.
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-01 | · | @TgMacro | · | Likes price action around $4,000 with no closes below the level. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-27 | BTC | @TgMacro | -0.20 | References having called out laser eyes in Bitcoin at $110K after the fact. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-25 | BTC | @TgMacro | -0.80 | Calls Bitcoin chart busted and says it is going to $40K, but not a concrete trade. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-24 | SLV | @TgMacro | -0.45 | Will bid SLV at $40 — Author mocks silver bulls and says they will be $40 bid to provide exit liquidity. | +6.3% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-24 | · | @TgMacro | · | Stocks, bonds, and dollar exploding together described as total capitulation day. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-23 | SPCX | @TgMacro | +0.10 | Author says prior witch-hat formation call worked out great after the IPO. | · | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.