Ticker brief
CF CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC
Basic Materials · Chemicals
last close
$125.79
1 day
+0.1%
14 days
+6.3%
mkt cap
$17.0B
signals 14d
19
authors 14d
17
crowd 14d
-0.3σ
Options inteloptions-surface reads · latest available day per source
| metric | reading | context |
|---|---|---|
| IV — ATM 30d | 46% mid · 72 pctile own 1y | IV/HV 1.09× (as of 2026-07-31) |
| Skew — 25Δ RR 30d | -0.054 5 pctile own 1y | puts bid vs calls (downside bid) |
| Net dealer OI (NDOI) | +1.33 elevated | 5-session Δ +0.32 (as of 2026-07-16) |
| OI alarm | quiet | last alarm 2026-03-24 (z=3.8) |
Sentiment — last 14 days
daily mean sentiment, 2026-08-17 → 2026-08-28 · now +0.25 (−1 bearish … +1 bullish)
Who spoke17
| author | grade | trader score | signals | mean sent |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| @davevermilion | A | -2.22 | 2 | +0.25 |
| @Brad_E_Schulz | C | · | 2 | +0.40 |
| @proactive_x | C | +0.24 | 1 | +0.20 |
| @TLAMB91 | C | +0.55 | 1 | -0.25 |
| @jonnajarian | C | +0.10 | 1 | +0.00 |
| @TalkMarkets | C | · | 1 | +0.30 |
| @matt2cents | C | -1.06 | 1 | +0.25 |
| @MinervaCap | C | -0.39 | 1 | +0.00 |
| @Stockspy1 | C | -0.56 | 1 | -0.12 |
| @AntonLaVay | A | +0.05 | 1 | +0.35 |
| @harmongreg | B | +0.34 | 1 | +0.00 |
| @GDXTrader | C | -2.82 | 1 | +0.65 |
| @KeithTradeSmith | C | +0.25 | 1 | +0.55 |
| @SunriseTrader | B | +1.37 | 1 | +0.20 |
| @cdntradegrljenn | C | +0.62 | 1 | +0.20 |
| @OpenOutcrier | C | · | 1 | -0.25 |
| @Sam_Badawi | C | -1.46 | 1 | +0.25 |
Recent signals19of 19 in 14d — receipts included
| date (PT) | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | @Sam_Badawi | +0.25 | Reports Fundstrat's quarterly portfolio rebalance; ticker cap limits extraction to the first direct additions. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | @OpenOutcrier | -0.25 | Recaps positive and negative third-party chatter plus Meta settlement topics. | +0.1% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | @cdntradegrljenn | +0.20 | Bullish copper thesis cites an all-time high and BlackRock's tight-market view. | +0.1% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-24 | @SunriseTrader | +0.20 | Discloses that stops on existing CF and CME positions were raised. | -2.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-24 | @KeithTradeSmith | +0.55 | Presents agriculture and fertilizer assets as beneficiaries of rising food prices and constrained supply. | -2.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-24 | @GDXTrader | +0.65 | Continue trimming CF into strength and trail the stop below the recent pivot low. — Maintains a bullish CF structure and gives forward trim and trailing-stop instructions. | -2.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-23 | @harmongreg | +0.00 | Monday watchlist names five trade ideas but gives no explicit entry intent or direction. | -2.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-21 | @AntonLaVay | +0.35 | Author flags fertilizer stocks within an alarming food-security thesis. | -2.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-21 | @davevermilion | +0.40 | Favors NTR, CF, IPI and SQM charts while characterizing MOS as a bottom-fishing name. | -2.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-21 | @Stockspy1 | -0.12 | Presents CF as another fertilizer investment play without trade mechanics. | -2.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-20 | @MinervaCap | +0.00 | Daily watchlist names eight prospective trades but gives no entry intent or visible levels. | +0.1% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-20 | @matt2cents | +0.25 | Summarizes index chart risks and strong daily performance across several named equities. | +0.1% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-20 | @TalkMarkets | +0.30 | Reports metals-related names as the only group holding up during the session. | +0.1% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-20 | @Brad_E_Schulz | +0.40 | Reports sector breadth and leading daily movers; tickers capped at six. | +0.1% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-20 | @Brad_E_Schulz | +0.40 | Reports intraday sector breadth and leading movers; tickers capped at six. | +0.1% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-20 | @davevermilion | +0.10 | Flags fertilizer names and states Mosaic appears to be bottoming. | +0.1% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-20 | @jonnajarian | +0.00 | Lists four stocks for an upcoming trading-show lineup without explicit direction. | +0.1% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-20 | @TLAMB91 | -0.25 | Mockingly characterizes current buying in NTR and CF as late chasing. | +0.1% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-17 | @proactive_x | +0.20 | CF is set to make its ASX market debut on Friday. | +6.8% | tweet ↗ |
“Since then” = price move from the close on the signal's date (PT) to the latest close — what happened after they said it, not a backtest. A — means no trading session has closed since the signal yet. Sentiment is our extracted per-tweet score, −1…+1.