Ticker brief
GEO GEO GROUP INC/THE
Consumer, Non-cyclical · Commercial Services
last close
$27.36
1 day
+1.6%
14 days
-12.1%
mkt cap
$4.0B
signals 14d
6
authors 14d
6
crowd 14d
-0.1σ
Options inteloptions-surface reads · latest available day per source
| metric | reading | context |
|---|---|---|
| IV — ATM 30d | 69% rich · 98 pctile own 1y | IV/HV 1.47× |
| Skew — 25Δ RR 30d | -0.014 57 pctile own 1y | balanced vs own range |
| Net dealer OI (NDOI) | +6.88 elevated | 5-session Δ -0.40 (as of 2026-07-16) |
| OI alarm | quiet | last alarm 2025-07-28 (z=2.0) |
| Next earnings | 2026-11-05 (proj) | in 10d |
| CSP screen | rank #30 · $25.2 strike · 1.12% prem | on the CSP screen (2026-10-23) |
Sentiment — last 14 days
daily mean sentiment, 2026-10-05 → 2026-10-14 · now +0.10 (−1 bearish … +1 bullish)
Who spoke6
| author | grade | trader score | signals | mean sent |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| @OptionsHawk | B | -1.11 | 1 | +0.20 |
| @leevalueroach | A | +0.07 | 1 | +0.40 |
| @USAnt_IDEA | C | -0.64 | 1 | +0.05 |
| @Alpha_Cat | C | -3.10 | 1 | +0.30 |
| @bullishchart | C | -1.21 | 1 | +0.20 |
| @oratnek_ill | C | -0.96 | 1 | +0.10 |
Recent signals6of 6 in 14d — receipts included
| date (PT) | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-14 | @oratnek_ill | +0.10 | Dated watchlist names neutral breakout health and technical pivot or trendline setups without entry intent. | -11.2% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-12 | @bullishchart | +0.20 | Reports an amended $550M revolver extending maturity to July 2031 and increasing payment capacity. | -13.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-10 | @Alpha_Cat | +0.30 | Notes GEO and CXW have performed well this year but declines to participate personally. | -12.1% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-09 | @USAnt_IDEA | +0.05 | Flags political and public-safety unrest as relevant to AXON and GEO without a clear direction. | -12.1% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-06 | @leevalueroach | +0.40 | Views an 8% drop following a major facility sale as excessive. | -8.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-05 | @OptionsHawk | +0.20 | States the author is banking gains and cleaning up positions in PAYS and GEO. | -15.4% | tweet ↗ |
“Since then” = price move from the close on the signal's date (PT) to the latest close — what happened after they said it, not a backtest. A — means no trading session has closed since the signal yet. Sentiment is our extracted per-tweet score, −1…+1.