Ticker brief
GEO GEO GROUP INC/THE
Consumer, Non-cyclical · Commercial Services
last close
$32.28
1 day
-1.0%
14 days
+3.4%
mkt cap
$4.0B
signals 14d
13
authors 14d
11
crowd 14d
-1.2σ
Options inteloptions-surface reads · latest available day per source
| metric | reading | context |
|---|---|---|
| IV — ATM 30d | 44% cheap · 3 pctile own 1y | IV/HV 0.96× |
| Skew — 25Δ RR 30d | -0.011 60 pctile own 1y | balanced vs own range |
| Net dealer OI (NDOI) | +6.88 elevated | 5-session Δ -0.40 (as of 2026-07-16) |
| OI alarm | quiet | last alarm 2025-07-28 (z=2.0) |
Sentiment — last 14 days
daily mean sentiment, 2026-08-15 → 2026-08-25 · now +0.75 (−1 bearish … +1 bullish)
Who spoke11
| author | grade | trader score | signals | mean sent |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| @BottomPhishing | B | -1.20 | 2 | +0.08 |
| @OptionsFlowBoss | C | · | 2 | +0.53 |
| @USAnt_IDEA | C | -1.02 | 1 | +0.60 |
| @OptionsHawk | B | +0.24 | 1 | +0.35 |
| @oratnek_ill | C | +0.70 | 1 | +0.15 |
| @Financhle | C | · | 1 | +0.70 |
| @PeloSwing | C | -0.75 | 1 | +0.45 |
| @Myeongsu_bean | B | +0.52 | 1 | -0.50 |
| @FL0WG0D | C | · | 1 | +0.45 |
| @scetrader | C | +1.59 | 1 | +0.00 |
| @davevermilion | A | -2.22 | 1 | +0.75 |
Recent signals13of 13 in 14d — receipts included
| date (PT) | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | @davevermilion | +0.75 | I keep buying GEO and CXW. — Explicitly says he continues buying prison operators while mocking AI and robotaxi TAM claims. | +0.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-24 | @scetrader | +0.00 | Links an institutional options-flow analysis covering five named tickers. | +0.3% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-24 | @FL0WG0D | +0.45 | Lists four large call trades from Friday with strikes, expiries and premiums. | +0.3% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-24 | @OptionsFlowBoss | +0.60 | Reports open-interest changes confirming a bullish call spread in GEO. | +0.3% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-23 | @Myeongsu_bean | -0.50 | Warns a Democratic midterm victory could sharply hurt companies aligned with Republicans. | -1.3% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-22 | @PeloSwing | +0.45 | Reports strong net call premium, including over $1.4M in $35 calls expiring September 18. | -1.3% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-21 | @Financhle | +0.70 | Reports a $6.38M bullish two-leg GEO call position. | -1.3% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-21 | @OptionsFlowBoss | +0.45 | Whale-sized bull call spread indicates bullish options positioning. | -1.3% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-21 | @BottomPhishing | +0.00 | Publishes a multi-stock HotBite watch list without explicit entry intent or direction. | -1.3% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-21 | @oratnek_ill | +0.15 | Daily watchlist presents technical pivot and trend structures without entry intent. | -1.3% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-20 | @OptionsHawk | +0.35 | Reports GEO climbed steadily all day while 30-day implied volatility rose 6.5%. | +1.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-17 | @BottomPhishing | +0.15 | Publishes a broad HotBite watchlist; the first six tickers are retained under the extraction cap. | +3.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-15 | @USAnt_IDEA | +0.60 | Bullish private-prison thesis tied to detention demand and higher federal contract rates. | +3.4% | tweet ↗ |
“Since then” = price move from the close on the signal's date (PT) to the latest close — what happened after they said it, not a backtest. A — means no trading session has closed since the signal yet. Sentiment is our extracted per-tweet score, −1…+1.