Ticker brief
TOL TOLL BROTHERS INC
Consumer, Cyclical · Home Builders
last close
$146.22
1 day
+0.8%
14 days
-1.4%
mkt cap
$14.7B
signals 14d
54
authors 14d
37
crowd 14d
-2.5σ
Options inteloptions-surface reads · latest available day per source
| metric | reading | context |
|---|---|---|
| IV — ATM 30d | 29% cheap · 1 pctile own 1y | IV/HV 0.95× |
| Skew — 25Δ RR 30d | -0.008 88 pctile own 1y | calls bid vs puts (call skew rich) |
| Net dealer OI (NDOI) | +0.41 normal | 5-session Δ +0.22 (as of 2026-07-16) |
| OI alarm | quiet | last alarm 2025-12-09 (z=2.4) |
Sentiment — last 14 days
daily mean sentiment, 2026-08-14 → 2026-08-27 · now -0.30 (−1 bearish … +1 bullish)
Who spoke37
| author | grade | trader score | signals | mean sent |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| @Mark_Lexus | C | -2.15 | 10 | -0.14 |
| @SchwabNetwork | C | -2.08 | 4 | -0.03 |
| @CheddaFreeze | C | -1.88 | 2 | +0.00 |
| @EarningsLottos | C | +0.00 | 2 | +0.00 |
| @ConsensusGurus | B | -0.58 | 2 | -0.20 |
| @CHItrader | B | +0.57 | 2 | +0.40 |
| @CNBCMorningCall | C | -0.17 | 2 | -0.08 |
| @AlbertAgarunov | C | -1.26 | 1 | +0.00 |
| @BullTradeFinder | C | +3.48 | 1 | +0.00 |
| @TradeThePool | C | -0.97 | 1 | +0.00 |
| @TalkMarkets | C | · | 1 | +0.10 |
| @bespokeinvest | A | -0.89 | 1 | +0.00 |
| @earnings_watch | B | -1.99 | 1 | +0.00 |
| @WallStDiaries | C | -0.20 | 1 | +0.00 |
| @BenzingaSpain | C | +0.68 | 1 | +0.00 |
| @DonJamesTrades | C | +2.89 | 1 | +0.00 |
| @CoreyCicero | C | -1.42 | 1 | +0.00 |
| @snorlax_uw | C | · | 1 | +0.00 |
| @KCTrades777 | C | +0.84 | 1 | -0.40 |
| @SpartanTrading | C | -1.46 | 1 | +0.00 |
| @tenet_research | C | -0.96 | 1 | +0.00 |
| @TheETFTracker | C | -0.94 | 1 | +0.00 |
| @TrendSpider | C | -1.01 | 1 | +0.00 |
| @EmmanuelInvest | C | -1.11 | 1 | -0.25 |
| @XRPholder2017 | C | -0.52 | 1 | +0.60 |
Recent signals30of 54 in 14d — receipts included
| date (PT) | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | @ineedsow | -0.65 | Says TOL should not be owned currently and plans to review technical levels tomorrow. | +0.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | @Mark_Lexus | -0.25 | Dismisses TOL's model-home announcement as routine for homebuilders. | +0.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | @AviNMash | +0.00 | Scenario map links Fed-chair tone and two-year yields to rate-sensitive equities | +0.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-25 | @TradersCom | -0.20 | US July new-home sales missed estimates sharply as inventory supply increased. | -3.1% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-20 | @Mark_Lexus | -0.50 | TOL surrendered its earnings pop amid weak market mood and poor HOV earnings. | +0.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-20 | @Mark_Lexus | -0.25 | Uses homebuilder job openings as a bearish operational signal unless construction-manager hiring improves. | +0.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-20 | @earnings_guy | +0.00 | Links prior-day post-earnings performance data; ticker output is capped at six. | +0.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-20 | @CNBCMorningCall | +0.00 | Panel frames rising yields and $40T debt as tests for equities across several cyclical sectors. | +0.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-19 | @KoujiSato19 | -0.45 | Toll Brothers Q3 revenue, profit and EPS declined YoY, though orders rose and full-year guidance was maintained. | -1.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-19 | @MikeFairbournCS | +0.00 | Lists this week's earnings calendar; output is capped at the first six tickers. | -1.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-19 | @AlexsOptions | +0.40 | Promotes an already profitable TOL trade given to members. | -1.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-19 | @Mark_Lexus | +0.25 | States the author is holding the existing TOL position patiently. | -1.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-19 | @Mark_Lexus | -0.30 | Added a LEN Sep 18 2026 95/100 call credit spread at 1.05 credit — Explicit bearish LEN call-credit-spread addition prompted by sympathy strength. | -1.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-19 | @ChrisJVersace | +0.00 | Headline roundup names market-moving stories but provides insufficient detail to isolate each ticker's event. | -1.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-19 | @Newsquawk | +0.60 | Premarket roundup details earnings beats, Lowe's miss, vaccine success and major stock moves. | -1.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-19 | @CNBCMorningCall | -0.15 | Housing affordability improves, but elevated mortgage rates still suppress demand and sales. | -1.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-18 | @Mark_Lexus | +0.20 | Discloses an existing September 155/160 TOL call vertical sold for a $0.95 credit. | +2.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-18 | @dangerousteee | +0.60 | Toll Brothers reported Q3 EPS and revenue modestly above estimates. | +2.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-18 | @AryaFintech | +0.60 | Reports TOL Q3 revenue and EPS beats plus reaffirmed FY2026 guidance. | +2.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-18 | @FintwitAi | +0.60 | Reports TOL Q3 FY26 revenue and EPS above estimates with FY revenue guidance. | +2.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-18 | @XRPholder2017 | +0.60 | TOL beat Q3 EPS and revenue estimates and maintained FY26 guidance. | +2.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-18 | @EmmanuelInvest | -0.25 | Q3 revenue, deliveries, earnings and margins fell, though contracts, backlog and FY guidance remained solid. | +2.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-18 | @CHItrader | +0.20 | Toll Brothers' CEO characterized Q3 results as solid despite a challenging market. | +2.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-18 | @ConsensusGurus | -0.60 | Toll Brothers orders of 2,508 missed the 2,615 estimate, yielding mixed results and limited upside reaction. | +2.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-18 | @CHItrader | +0.60 | Toll Brothers beat Q3 EPS and revenue estimates despite year-over-year declines. | +2.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-18 | @ConsensusGurus | +0.20 | Notes TOL's relative resilience among homebuilders and that results are due after the bell. | +2.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-18 | @TrendSpider | +0.00 | Promotes live coverage of Keysight Q3 2026 results and reactions, with TOL and BHP also listed. | +2.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-18 | @EarningsLottos | -0.10 | References a 135 put with media but gives no explicit entry intent. | +2.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-18 | @EarningsLottos | +0.10 | References a 150 call with media but expresses uncertainty and no entry intent. | +2.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-18 | @Mark_Lexus | -0.15 | Uses Berkshire's DHI purchase to favor entry-level builders over luxury builder TOL. | +2.4% | tweet ↗ |
“Since then” = price move from the close on the signal's date (PT) to the latest close — what happened after they said it, not a backtest. A — means no trading session has closed since the signal yet. Sentiment is our extracted per-tweet score, −1…+1.