Ticker brief
TOL TOLL BROTHERS INC
Consumer, Cyclical · Home Builders
last close
$139.90
1 day
-0.8%
14 days
+5.1%
mkt cap
$14.7B
signals 14d
5
authors 14d
5
crowd 14d
+0.9σ
Options inteloptions-surface reads · latest available day per source
| metric | reading | context |
|---|---|---|
| IV — ATM 30d | 35% mid · 38 pctile own 1y | IV/HV 1.12× |
| Skew — 25Δ RR 30d | -0.044 19 pctile own 1y | puts bid vs calls (downside bid) |
| Net dealer OI (NDOI) | +0.41 normal | 5-session Δ +0.22 (as of 2026-07-16) |
| OI alarm | quiet | last alarm 2025-12-09 (z=2.4) |
Sentiment — last 14 days
daily mean sentiment, 2026-10-06 → 2026-10-15 · now +0.35 (−1 bearish … +1 bullish)
Who spoke5
| author | grade | trader score | signals | mean sent |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| @KrisPatel99 | A | -1.64 | 1 | +0.45 |
| @t3live | C | -0.10 | 1 | +0.55 |
| @dangerousteee | C | -0.14 | 1 | +0.40 |
| @hiddensmallcaps | B | -0.87 | 1 | +0.20 |
| @Mark_Lexus | C | +1.73 | 1 | +0.35 |
Recent signals5of 5 in 14d — receipts included
| date (PT) | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | @Mark_Lexus | +0.35 | Use LEN, HOV and TOL as today's safety trade. — Identifies three homebuilders as the author's safety trade for the day. | +4.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-12 | @hiddensmallcaps | +0.20 | Author argues mass AI-agent adoption through Apple distribution could sustain a long-term MU bull market. | +5.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-10 | @dangerousteee | +0.40 | Updates a list of companies described as having reported good earnings since July. | +5.1% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-08 | @t3live | +0.55 | Scale into selected long-term names at the stated pullback levels. — Relays explicit long-term buy and scale-in plans across several stocks. | +3.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-06 | @KrisPatel99 | +0.45 | Argues a future correction could lower yields and boost housing demand and homebuilder equities. | +1.4% | tweet ↗ |
“Since then” = price move from the close on the signal's date (PT) to the latest close — what happened after they said it, not a backtest. A — means no trading session has closed since the signal yet. Sentiment is our extracted per-tweet score, −1…+1.