Author
@adam_tooze adam_tooze
grade Ax.com/adam_tooze ↗
Economic historian threading macro events through long-run history and capital-flow mechanics
Publishes original macro commentary and frameworks linking c
trader score
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hit rate
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mean α
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signals 14d
7
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Not yet in the scored-bets universe (fewer than 20 scoreable calls).
Recent signals7receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | · | @adam_tooze | · | Questions Treasury safe-haven status through a framework of policy cognitive dissonance. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | · | @adam_tooze | · | Frames Treasury intervention as possible financial repression but predicts operational disorder. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-22 | · | @adam_tooze | · | Frames current US Treasury-market stress through the historical lens of the March 2020 meltdown. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-16 | · | @adam_tooze | · | Warns climate losses will be especially severe in the Global South. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-16 | · | @adam_tooze | · | Says warming and El Niño will compound damage to agriculture and major commodities. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-16 | · | @adam_tooze | · | Reports major institutions expect significant macroeconomic damage from climate conditions. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-16 | · | @adam_tooze | · | Forecasts large global socioeconomic effects from storms, heat and climate change. | · | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.