Author
@AdnansArk AdnansArk
grade Cx.com/AdnansArk ↗
Permabear macro-doom poster pairing crisis narratives with speculative thematic small-cap baskets
Posts a steady stream of bearish macro commentary on broad i
trader score
+1.58
hit rate
46%
mean α
+0.42%
signals 14d
12
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Across their last 13 scored bets: 46% hit rate, +0.42% mean alpha, trader score +1.58. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +0.2% since posting (mean over 11 mentions with price data).
Recent signals12receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | IWM | @AdnansArk | -0.50 | Discloses January put exposure bought near the yearly highs. | +2.0% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | SPY | @AdnansArk | -0.50 | Discloses January put exposure bought near the yearly highs. | -0.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | QQQ | @AdnansArk | -0.50 | Discloses January put exposure bought near the yearly highs. | -0.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | SPY | @AdnansArk | +0.60 | Reports that a SPY position has already doubled. | -0.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | SPY | @AdnansArk | -0.65 | Speculative 0DTE SPY 760 put for a potential breakdown. — States a potential break and specifies a same-day 760 put. | -0.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | SPY | @AdnansArk | +0.10 | Marks an unseen chart level as the bulls' strongest defense. | -0.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | IWM | @AdnansArk | +0.00 | Claims the pictured IWM outcome was predictable after the fact. | +2.0% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | ASTS | @AdnansArk | -0.90 | Predicts no new highs, future dilution, and an eventual price in the 20s. | -2.1% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | IWM | @AdnansArk | -0.55 | Calls unsustained SPY bounces below 772 bearish and cites heavy VIX call positioning. | +2.0% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | SPY | @AdnansArk | -0.70 | Calls unsustained SPY bounces below 772 bearish and cites heavy VIX call positioning. | -0.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | VIX | @AdnansArk | +0.55 | Calls unsustained SPY bounces below 772 bearish and cites heavy VIX call positioning. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | QQQ | @AdnansArk | -0.55 | Calls unsustained SPY bounces below 772 bearish and cites heavy VIX call positioning. | -0.8% | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.