Author · brief 2026-06-22

@adudetrading adudetrading

Transparent retail momentum trader riding AI-agent software and power-semi themes

Posts real-time tickered trades, adds, and exits with sizing

trader score
+2.78
hit rate
75%
mean α
+2.87%
signals 14d
54

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY. · Analyst brief as of 2026-06-22.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 20 scored bets: 75% hit rate, +2.87% mean alpha, trader score +2.78. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -1.5% since posting (mean over 43 mentions with price data).

Levered AI software basket with selective power and solar pivots

Author is running a highly levered long book, centered on AI-exposed software names, with additional solar, power infrastructure, and nuclear/SMR-adjacent ideas. Distinctive read is that smaller software names tied to AI demand offer the best 2H 2026 opportunity, while power supply and energy infrastructure are secondary beneficiaries. Late-window activity shows risk being reduced: FIVN, PLTR, and FSLR were cut, options were skimmed, and IPWR was added back.

Themes4analyst read · 2026-06-22
AI software demand and portfolio concentration
bullintensifying15 signals
Solar picks and renewable exposure rotation
mixedfading5 signals
⚠ 60% of theme signals are FSLR — flag pump risk
Power infrastructure and energy transition beneficiaries
bullNEW5 signals
BLDPPOWIIPWRLEUOKLO
Speculative leverage and market-risk posture
mixedintensifying12 signals
Direction this week

The author stayed net bullish and highly levered, but exposure faded from 129% long into the Fed meeting to almost 121% long after closing positions and skimming options. Concentration sits in AI-exposed software, while late-week actions show trims in FIVN, PLTR, and FSLR and an add back into IPWR. No clear thesis flip appears, but risk appetite moderated while selective power and nuclear-adjacent ideas were surfaced.

Position disclosures3skin in the game
FIVN Author cut FIVN as part of main portfolio moves. trimmed
PLTR Author cut PLTR as part of main portfolio moves. trimmed
IPWR Author added back into IPWR after reducing other positions. added
Best hypotheses5their highest-scoring claims in our index
STM’s raised AI data-center revenue outlook materially resets the growth case for 2026 and possibly 2027.
bullHIGH6 co-supporters
STM is being re-rated as an AI infrastructure physical-layer supplier across data centers, power, photonics, and industr
bullHIGH6 co-supporters
DDOG’s observability platform should benefit as AI workloads, AI customers and infrastructure complexity increase monito
bullHIGH6 co-supporters
AI power and SiC/GaN enthusiasm may overstate ON’s moat as competition pressures wide-bandgap margins.
bearHIGH3 co-supporters
Dynatrace benefits from AI observability and autonomous operations demand, with valuation appeal versus faster-growing p
bullLOW1 co-supporters
Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-07-02FROG@adudetrading+0.25Discloses three of top five positions are software names and portfolio is up 67% YTD.
2026-07-02DDOG@adudetrading+0.25Discloses three of top five positions are software names and portfolio is up 67% YTD.
2026-07-02FIVN@adudetrading+0.25Discloses three of top five positions are software names and portfolio is up 67% YTD.
2026-07-02OUST@adudetrading+0.35Says still no trims in OUST, implying continued holding.
2026-07-02DDOG@adudetrading+0.75States $330 price target for DDOG.
2026-07-01META@adudetrading-0.25Criticizes META as copying a different business plan.-4.9%
2026-07-01·@adudetrading·Brief pro-software-bulls comment, but no specific ticker in text.·
2026-07-01DIOD@adudetrading+0.70Opened a position in DIOD — Explicitly opened DIOD position and gives market-thesis reasons, comparing to STM.·
2026-07-01STM@adudetrading+0.00Opened a position in DIOD — Explicitly opened DIOD position and gives market-thesis reasons, comparing to STM.-3.4%
2026-06-30OUST@adudetrading+0.85Not trimming OUST before an explosive breakout — Explicitly says not trimming, cites product momentum, chart and volume breakout setup.-20.3%
2026-06-30INDI@adudetrading+0.25Reports both INDI and MBLY up over 16% with no news.-3.6%
2026-06-30MBLY@adudetrading+0.25Reports both INDI and MBLY up over 16% with no news.-1.1%
2026-06-30TSLA@adudetrading+0.15States TSLA used to be largest holding, trimmed a lot, still holds some.-6.5%
2026-06-30STM@adudetrading+0.65Calls STM largest holding and cites constructive chart, earnings timing and accumulation.-8.7%
2026-06-30ARQQ@adudetrading+0.45Notes ARQQ making new 52-week highs.-20.9%

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.