Author

@ahidalgoa ahidalgoa

Spanish-language macro-to-equity synthesizer connecting geopolitics and supply chains to trades

Posts narrative frameworks linking macro/geopolitical driver

trader score
+0.53
hit rate
55%
mean α
+0.52%
signals 14d
20

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 20 scored bets: 55% hit rate, +0.52% mean alpha, trader score +0.53. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +1.4% since posting (mean over 8 mentions with price data).

Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-08-28PYPL@ahidalgoa+0.00States that the options group traded PYPL today without giving direction or structure.
2026-08-28·@ahidalgoa·Notes gold, silver and Bitcoin falling during Jackson Hole but asks whether it is an opportunity or trap.·
2026-08-28·@ahidalgoa·Sarcastically argues avoiding stocks guarantees a real loss of at least 4.3%, possibly twice that.·
2026-08-23WMT@ahidalgoa+0.15Frames Walmart as an important proxy for consumer and economic conditions.-0.6%
2026-08-22BTC@ahidalgoa+0.70Says investors should buy Bitcoin. — Explicitly says Bitcoin should be bought, while attributing the recommendation to another source.·
2026-08-22·@ahidalgoa·Reports that several puts and naked calls expired worthless yesterday.·
2026-08-21SPY@ahidalgoa+0.00Notes SPY and QQQ are near their gamma-flip levels following Walmart-driven volatility.+0.5%
2026-08-21QQQ@ahidalgoa+0.00Notes SPY and QQQ are near their gamma-flip levels following Walmart-driven volatility.+0.4%
2026-08-20·@ahidalgoa·Argues 2% mortgages are unprofitable for banks·
2026-08-20·@ahidalgoa·Argues options flow provides highly useful market information.·
2026-08-20ADBE@ahidalgoa+0.30Recalls considering Adobe below $200 but not buying because conviction was lacking.+7.1%
2026-08-19ZIM@ahidalgoa+0.00Announces a subscriber session analyzing ZIM results and options implications.+0.1%
2026-08-19·@ahidalgoa·Explains that single-stock implied volatility can be compared with realized volatility for stock and options strategies.·
2026-08-19VIX@ahidalgoa+0.00Discusses multiple volatility indices with horizons from one day to six months, including gold and oil volatility.·
2026-08-19VIX@ahidalgoa+0.05Notes VIX rose after several declining days but remains near lows.·

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.