Author · brief 2026-06-22

@alicharts alicharts

Crypto-first chart technician blending TD Sequential and on-chain MVRV/whale-flow signals

Posts tickered technical setups with explicit support/resist

trader score
+0.62
hit rate
45%
mean α
+0.49%
signals 14d
83

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY. · Analyst brief as of 2026-06-22.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 20 scored bets: 45% hit rate, +0.49% mean alpha, trader score +0.62. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -0.4% since posting (mean over 14 mentions with price data).

Crypto chart tactician turns mixed as late weakness spreads

alicharts is mostly trading crypto chart levels, with the heaviest attention on BTC, ETH, XRP, DOGE, and SPCX rather than fundamental equity work. The distinctive read is tactical and threshold-driven: buyable crypto support zones coexist with whale-distribution and breakdown warnings. Late week tone weakened in ETH, XRP, SPCX, SOL, STRC, and DeFi, while ENA surfaced as a new bullish on-chain bottom call.

Themes5analyst read · 2026-06-22
Bitcoin cycle levels and proxy risk
mixedfading29 signals
⚠ 90% of theme signals are BTC — flag pump risk
Ethereum support retests and whale-flow conflict
mixedconsistent14 signals
⚠ 100% of theme signals are ETH — flag pump risk
Altcoin breakout setups versus whale distribution
mixedconsistent29 signals
⚠ 48% of theme signals are XRP — flag pump risk
SpaceX exposure and speculative vehicle pressure
mixedconsistent8 signals
⚠ 100% of theme signals are SPCX — flag pump risk
Large-cap equity technical reversal screens
mixedintensifying5 signals
⚠ 40% of theme signals are MSFT — flag pump risk
Direction this week

The week starts with constructive crypto support and breakout setups, especially BTC holding 64000 and ETH near 1060 to 1070. By June 18-21, the tone flips weaker across ETH, XRP, SPCX, SOL, STRC, and DeFi, with several downside targets and whale-distribution warnings. Concentration is highest in ETH, BTC, and SPCX; SPCX is the clearest pump-risk pocket because all theme signals are one speculative vehicle.

Best hypotheses5their highest-scoring claims in our index
SOL has broken key support and new bear-market lows point to further downside before a durable base forms.
bearHIGH9 co-supporters
Extreme oversold readings near the 200-week average and loss metrics suggest BTC is near a tradable bottom.
bullHIGH6 co-supporters
META's weak relative strength and broken technical levels point to further downside toward the 575, 557 or lower zones.
bearHIGH7 co-supporters
ETH losing the $2,000 area and key moving averages signals further downside toward $1,850, $1,560, or lower.
bearHIGH7 co-supporters
ETH is forming a technical bottom near major support, making current levels a contrarian long setup.
bullMEDIUM6 co-supporters
Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-07-02XRP@alicharts+0.65SuperTrend flashed XRP buy signal; prior signal preceded 14% rally.·
2026-07-02·@alicharts·Short it — Explicit short command in reply but ticker context absent.·
2026-07-02·@alicharts·accumulate Ethereum via DCA — Says Ethereum below MVRV is a buying opportunity and now is time to accumulate DCA.·
2026-07-02·@alicharts·Ethereum monthly TD Sequential buy signal suggests seller exhaustion and cycle bottom.·
2026-07-02BTC@alicharts+0.80Buy Bitcoin at $48,300 if correction reaches that level — Explicit buy level for BTC based on Investor Price model and macro-bottom thesis.·
2026-07-01·@alicharts·Says accumulation heat map turns blue when it is time to load up.·
2026-07-01BTC@alicharts+0.65Bitcoin wallet cohorts flipped back to buying over 30 days, suggesting high-value floor.·
2026-07-01·@alicharts·Says it is about accumulation now, not shorting, but ticker context absent.·
2026-07-01ETH@alicharts+0.75Scale long-term spot if ETH defends $1,100 — Gives conditional accumulation plan and upside targets for Ethereum.·
2026-07-01·@alicharts·Frames tokenized equities as improving global access and liquidity.·
2026-07-01·@alicharts·Says buy signal plus capitulation candle may mark final leg down.·
2026-07-01·@alicharts·Accumulate the bottom, do not short — Says bottom is forming and it is time to accumulate, but no ticker named.·
2026-07-01MSTR@alicharts-0.25Warns MSTR is not the same as crypto assets.+7.9%
2026-07-01ETH@alicharts+0.00Warns MSTR is not the same as crypto assets.·
2026-07-01SOL@alicharts+0.00Warns MSTR is not the same as crypto assets.·

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.