Author
@alshfaw alshfaw
grade Bx.com/alshfaw ↗
Vol-regime macro chartist calling SPY tops via gamma, intermarket, and Elliott geometry
Forecasts index volatility regime turns and SPY/QQQ tops usi
trader score
+0.33
hit rate
45%
mean α
+0.15%
signals 14d
171
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Across their last 20 scored bets: 45% hit rate, +0.15% mean alpha, trader score +0.33. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -0.6% since posting (mean over 93 mentions with price data).
Recent signals15receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | VVIX | @alshfaw | +0.75 | Explicitly declares that the volatility-of-volatility bottom is in. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | VVIX | @alshfaw | +0.45 | Endorses VVIX as the more accurate volatility indicator. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | NVDA | @alshfaw | -0.35 | Calls a volatility bottom and a new regime into mid-October, with bearish implications for SPY and conditional NVDA risk. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | SPY | @alshfaw | -0.70 | Calls a volatility bottom and a new regime into mid-October, with bearish implications for SPY and conditional NVDA risk. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | SVIX | @alshfaw | -0.80 | Calls a volatility bottom and a new regime into mid-October, with bearish implications for SPY and conditional NVDA risk. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | VIX | @alshfaw | +0.80 | Calls a volatility bottom and a new regime into mid-October, with bearish implications for SPY and conditional NVDA risk. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | VVIX | @alshfaw | +0.90 | Calls a volatility bottom and a new regime into mid-October, with bearish implications for SPY and conditional NVDA risk. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | SOXX | @alshfaw | -0.55 | Says the setup favors inverse-semiconductor ETF SOXS as MAGS improves relative to SOXX. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | SPY | @alshfaw | +0.05 | Says the setup favors inverse-semiconductor ETF SOXS as MAGS improves relative to SOXX. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | MAGS | @alshfaw | +0.20 | Says the setup favors inverse-semiconductor ETF SOXS as MAGS improves relative to SOXX. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | SOXS | @alshfaw | +0.55 | Says the setup favors inverse-semiconductor ETF SOXS as MAGS improves relative to SOXX. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | NVDA | @alshfaw | -0.65 | Recaps prior forecasts as playing out and says SPY's expected reaction is merely delayed. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | SPY | @alshfaw | -0.45 | Recaps prior forecasts as playing out and says SPY's expected reaction is merely delayed. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | SVIX | @alshfaw | -0.65 | Recaps prior forecasts as playing out and says SPY's expected reaction is merely delayed. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | MAGS | @alshfaw | +0.25 | Recaps prior forecasts as playing out and says SPY's expected reaction is merely delayed. | — | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.