Author
@alshfaw alshfaw
grade Bx.com/alshfaw ↗
Vol-regime macro chartist calling SPY tops via gamma, intermarket, and Elliott geometry
Forecasts index volatility regime turns and SPY/QQQ tops usi
trader score
-2.10
hit rate
20%
mean α
-0.98%
signals 14d
184
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Across their last 20 scored bets: 20% hit rate, -0.98% mean alpha, trader score -2.10. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -2.1% since posting (mean over 144 mentions with price data).
Recent signals15receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | SOXL | @alshfaw | +0.90 | Buy SOXL aggressively at $94. — Explicitly urges buying SOXL with both hands at $94 and calls it a last chance. | -10.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | NVDA | @alshfaw | +0.90 | Buy NVDA for a powerful rally after capitulation. — Repeatedly says buy and forecasts a powerful NVDA rally from a double bottom and gap setup. | -1.5% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | · | @alshfaw | · | Calls the decline a shakeout and advises maintaining an unspecified position. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | SPY | @alshfaw | +0.20 | States SPY's Wednesday-Friday drop-equality objective is complete based on measured length. | -0.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | SOXX | @alshfaw | +0.35 | Bought INTW today as an Intel-led semiconductor recovery trade. — Discloses a fresh INTW purchase and argues Intel will lead semiconductors out of the decline. | -3.1% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | INTW | @alshfaw | +0.80 | Bought INTW today as an Intel-led semiconductor recovery trade. — Discloses a fresh INTW purchase and argues Intel will lead semiconductors out of the decline. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | INTC | @alshfaw | +0.70 | Bought INTW today as an Intel-led semiconductor recovery trade. — Discloses a fresh INTW purchase and argues Intel will lead semiconductors out of the decline. | -3.2% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | DXY | @alshfaw | +0.15 | Reports DXY retesting a key moving average from below and showing stability signs. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | MSFT | @alshfaw | +0.10 | Notes MSFT was the day's worst performer but printed its first green hourly candle. | -0.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | MSFT | @alshfaw | -0.45 | Attributes QQQ's sharp decline primarily to MSFT weakness. | -0.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | QQQ | @alshfaw | -0.30 | Attributes QQQ's sharp decline primarily to MSFT weakness. | -0.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | IWM | @alshfaw | +0.70 | Go long broad markets after the SVIX capitulation wick. — Explicitly calls for long market exposure following a high-volume SVIX capitulation wick. | +2.0% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | SVIX | @alshfaw | +0.40 | Go long broad markets after the SVIX capitulation wick. — Explicitly calls for long market exposure following a high-volume SVIX capitulation wick. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | SPY | @alshfaw | +0.80 | Go long broad markets after the SVIX capitulation wick. — Explicitly calls for long market exposure following a high-volume SVIX capitulation wick. | -0.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | QQQ | @alshfaw | +0.80 | Go long broad markets after the SVIX capitulation wick. — Explicitly calls for long market exposure following a high-volume SVIX capitulation wick. | -0.8% | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.