Author

@Arturraposo1R Arturraposo1R

Conviction retail thesis-builder linking macro narratives to undervalued real-economy and health stocks

Posts long-form bullish theses and tickered forward price-ta

trader score
-0.66
hit rate
55%
mean α
-0.34%
signals 14d
194

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 20 scored bets: 55% hit rate, -0.34% mean alpha, trader score -0.66. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -1.8% since posting (mean over 153 mentions with price data).

Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-08-28NIO@Arturraposo1R+0.55Frames capitulation and elevated shorting as setup for an earnings-driven reversal or squeeze.
2026-08-28NFLX@Arturraposo1R+0.25Lists daily gains in disliked stocks against a lower SPY.
2026-08-28SPY@Arturraposo1R-0.10Lists daily gains in disliked stocks against a lower SPY.
2026-08-28NOW@Arturraposo1R+0.35Lists daily gains in disliked stocks against a lower SPY.
2026-08-28NKE@Arturraposo1R+0.25Lists daily gains in disliked stocks against a lower SPY.
2026-08-28BABA@Arturraposo1R+0.20Lists daily gains in disliked stocks against a lower SPY.
2026-08-28JD@Arturraposo1R+0.10Lists daily gains in disliked stocks against a lower SPY.
2026-08-28HIMS@Arturraposo1R+0.10Reports a 9% decline while framing it as a test of patient investors.
2026-08-28·@Arturraposo1R·Argues dollar devaluation and digital assets may help absorb Treasury supply and macro pressures.·
2026-08-28NVO@Arturraposo1R+0.45Says developments improve NVO's pricing power and outlook.
2026-08-28NFLX@Arturraposo1R+0.35Identifies support after three waves down into the 200-week moving average.
2026-08-28NOW@Arturraposo1R+0.50Calls current NOW prices attractive while discussing a test below its 200-week moving average.
2026-08-28SPY@Arturraposo1R+0.00Forecasts elevated index volatility around the Jackson Hole speech.
2026-08-28QQQ@Arturraposo1R+0.00Forecasts elevated index volatility around the Jackson Hole speech.
2026-08-28TGT@Arturraposo1R-0.35Warns against chasing TGT and expects profit-taking to trigger a correction.

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.