Author
@Arya__Deniz Arya__Deniz
grade Ax.com/Arya__Deniz ↗
Cross-asset macro PM trading the AI/semis carry-unwind via tickered, market-neutral pairs
Posts a continuous, position-disclosed macro-to-equities pla
trader score
+2.05
hit rate
100%
mean α
+0.91%
signals 14d
22
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Across their last 6 scored bets: 100% hit rate, +0.91% mean alpha, trader score +2.05. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -3.8% since posting (mean over 14 mentions with price data).
Recent signals15receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | AAPL | @Arya__Deniz | -0.15 | Argues falling Treasury yields and growth risks matter more for equities than AI-lab growth rates. | +1.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | AMD | @Arya__Deniz | -0.15 | Argues falling Treasury yields and growth risks matter more for equities than AI-lab growth rates. | -8.1% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | AMZN | @Arya__Deniz | -0.15 | Argues falling Treasury yields and growth risks matter more for equities than AI-lab growth rates. | -2.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | MSFT | @Arya__Deniz | -0.15 | Argues falling Treasury yields and growth risks matter more for equities than AI-lab growth rates. | -2.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | META | @Arya__Deniz | -0.15 | Argues falling Treasury yields and growth risks matter more for equities than AI-lab growth rates. | -12.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | NVDA | @Arya__Deniz | -0.15 | Argues falling Treasury yields and growth risks matter more for equities than AI-lab growth rates. | -2.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | · | @Arya__Deniz | · | Says a growth shock is being priced and forecasts the 10-year yield falling to 3.75–4.00% in Q4 2026. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | ZB_F | @Arya__Deniz | +0.25 | Cites past mega-cap opportunities below long-term averages and suggests Treasuries may be due for one. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | ZN_F | @Arya__Deniz | +0.25 | Cites past mega-cap opportunities below long-term averages and suggests Treasuries may be due for one. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | MSFT | @Arya__Deniz | +0.40 | Cites past mega-cap opportunities below long-term averages and suggests Treasuries may be due for one. | -1.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | META | @Arya__Deniz | +0.35 | Cites past mega-cap opportunities below long-term averages and suggests Treasuries may be due for one. | -12.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | LRCX | @Arya__Deniz | +0.20 | Names five stocks as current examples supporting a prior constructive point. | -19.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | AMAT | @Arya__Deniz | +0.20 | Names five stocks as current examples supporting a prior constructive point. | -15.5% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | ASML | @Arya__Deniz | +0.20 | Names five stocks as current examples supporting a prior constructive point. | -4.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | KLAC | @Arya__Deniz | +0.20 | Names five stocks as current examples supporting a prior constructive point. | -18.6% | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.