Author
@Arya__Deniz Arya__Deniz
grade Ax.com/Arya__Deniz ↗
Cross-asset macro PM trading the AI/semis carry-unwind via tickered, market-neutral pairs
Posts a continuous, position-disclosed macro-to-equities pla
trader score
-0.23
hit rate
45%
mean α
-0.17%
signals 14d
59
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Across their last 20 scored bets: 45% hit rate, -0.17% mean alpha, trader score -0.23. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +0.5% since posting (mean over 34 mentions with price data).
Recent signals15receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | VIX | @Arya__Deniz | +0.55 | Discloses exiting other assets and loading long-duration Treasuries until after midterms | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | · | @Arya__Deniz | · | Exit equities and currencies; go long 10-, 20-, and 30-year US Treasuries — Explicitly recommends leaving risk assets and buying long-duration US Treasuries | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | · | @Arya__Deniz | · | Predicts a 2% up day for the broad market | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | · | @Arya__Deniz | · | Argues market-beating returns are rare and become exponentially harder above $500M scale. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | CRWD | @Arya__Deniz | -0.60 | Forecasts Q4 rotation into semiconductors and out of software, calling cyber valuations excessive. | -4.2% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | IGV | @Arya__Deniz | -0.65 | Forecasts Q4 rotation into semiconductors and out of software, calling cyber valuations excessive. | -0.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | PANW | @Arya__Deniz | -0.60 | Forecasts Q4 rotation into semiconductors and out of software, calling cyber valuations excessive. | -2.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | SMH | @Arya__Deniz | +0.65 | Forecasts Q4 rotation into semiconductors and out of software, calling cyber valuations excessive. | -3.5% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | MU | @Arya__Deniz | -0.15 | Forecasts Q4 rotation into semiconductors and out of software, calling cyber valuations excessive. | -0.3% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | FTNT | @Arya__Deniz | -0.60 | Forecasts Q4 rotation into semiconductors and out of software, calling cyber valuations excessive. | -3.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | · | @Arya__Deniz | · | Argues sustained 100% growth on $50B revenue bases signals a changed business regime. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | NVDA | @Arya__Deniz | +0.00 | Compares dated price-action periods for Apple and Nvidia without stating a conclusion. | -4.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | AAPL | @Arya__Deniz | +0.00 | Compares dated price-action periods for Apple and Nvidia without stating a conclusion. | +1.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | NVDA | @Arya__Deniz | +0.50 | Suggests Nvidia's long consolidation could resemble Apple's prior setup before a 50% rally. | -4.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | AAPL | @Arya__Deniz | +0.25 | Suggests Nvidia's long consolidation could resemble Apple's prior setup before a 50% rally. | +1.6% | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.