Author

@averageguy62 averageguy62

Bilingual Polish retail momentum trader posting live calls across SaaS, quantum, crypto, silver

Posts fast, mostly one-line directional calls and live posit

trader score
+0.69
hit rate
60%
mean α
+0.90%
signals 14d
16

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 20 scored bets: 60% hit rate, +0.90% mean alpha, trader score +0.69. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -1.7% since posting (mean over 10 mentions with price data).

Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-08-28SMR@averageguy62+0.80Adding USAR, SMR and CRML to a fully invested portfolio. — Polish-language post explicitly states adding three positions.
2026-08-28USAR@averageguy62+0.80Adding USAR, SMR and CRML to a fully invested portfolio. — Polish-language post explicitly states adding three positions.
2026-08-28CRML@averageguy62+0.80Adding USAR, SMR and CRML to a fully invested portfolio. — Polish-language post explicitly states adding three positions.
2026-08-27SMR@averageguy62+0.50Discloses portfolio allocations and day-two performance across three holdings.-4.6%
2026-08-27USAR@averageguy62+0.00Discloses portfolio allocations and day-two performance across three holdings.-6.5%
2026-08-27CRML@averageguy62+0.00Discloses portfolio allocations and day-two performance across three holdings.-11.4%
2026-08-26SMR@averageguy62-0.40Discloses a 25% portfolio allocation to SMR alongside a 22% loss.+0.2%
2026-08-26SMR@averageguy62+0.30Introduces day one of a 10,000 PLN SMR portfolio challenge.+0.2%
2026-08-20MRNA@averageguy62+0.35Approval emoji conveys a mildly bullish view on MRNA.+3.5%
2026-08-19MRNA@averageguy62+0.00Says MRNA is interesting but gives no clear direction.-20.9%
2026-08-19MRNA@averageguy62+0.55Affectionate, celebratory reaction conveys bullish MRNA sentiment.-20.9%
2026-08-19SPX@averageguy62-0.90Short SPX. — Explicit current short call on the S&P 500 index.·
2026-08-19MRNA@averageguy62-0.90Short MRNA at $150. — Explicit MRNA short call with a stated level.-20.9%
2026-08-17NOW@averageguy62+0.55Would buy NOW again below $100 — Expresses conditional forward intent to repurchase NOW below $100+22.9%
2026-08-17XTB@averageguy62+0.80Expects XTB to rise to PLN 200 — States a forward bullish target of 200 złoty for XTB·

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.