Author
@Balder13946731 Balder13946731
grade Bx.com/Balder13946731 ↗
AI-compute-stack thesis trader weaving model labs, semis, and macro into tickered calls
Builds and broadcasts multi-factor theses on the AI compute
trader score
-0.11
hit rate
45%
mean α
-0.05%
signals 14d
257
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Across their last 20 scored bets: 45% hit rate, -0.05% mean alpha, trader score -0.11. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -0.6% since posting (mean over 209 mentions with price data).
Recent signals15receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | TSM | @Balder13946731 | -0.15 | Argues HBM captures more Nvidia system cost than foundry logic and gives memory suppliers leverage. | +1.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | SSNLF | @Balder13946731 | +0.25 | Argues HBM captures more Nvidia system cost than foundry logic and gives memory suppliers leverage. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | MDB | @Balder13946731 | -0.30 | Argues single-stock volatility overwhelmed index moves, making index puts ineffective hedges. | +9.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | NBIS | @Balder13946731 | -0.35 | Argues single-stock volatility overwhelmed index moves, making index puts ineffective hedges. | -4.1% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | SMCI | @Balder13946731 | -0.35 | Argues single-stock volatility overwhelmed index moves, making index puts ineffective hedges. | +4.1% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | IREN | @Balder13946731 | -0.35 | Argues single-stock volatility overwhelmed index moves, making index puts ineffective hedges. | -7.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | CRWV | @Balder13946731 | -0.35 | Argues single-stock volatility overwhelmed index moves, making index puts ineffective hedges. | -11.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | SNOW | @Balder13946731 | -0.30 | Argues single-stock volatility overwhelmed index moves, making index puts ineffective hedges. | +6.1% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | UVXY | @Balder13946731 | +0.25 | Reports UVXY rising 15%. | +1.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | · | @Balder13946731 | · | Expects a large broad-market rebound next week, conditional on confirmation signals. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | SOXX | @Balder13946731 | +0.50 | Expects SOXX to recover toward 560 if the rebound is confirmed. | -3.1% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | GOOGL | @Balder13946731 | -0.15 | Notes a catalyst that once lifted Google 5% no longer receives the same market response. | -6.0% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | NFLX | @Balder13946731 | +0.00 | Provides Nasdaq 100 ranges and probabilities while requiring a hold above resistance to reassess. | -6.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | TSLA | @Balder13946731 | +0.00 | Provides Nasdaq 100 ranges and probabilities while requiring a hold above resistance to reassess. | +4.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | META | @Balder13946731 | +0.00 | Provides Nasdaq 100 ranges and probabilities while requiring a hold above resistance to reassess. | -9.4% | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.