@BastianelliLore BastianelliLore
High-conviction concentrated bull on AI-native compounders via an AI-equals-data framework
Builds and defends long-term fundamental theses on a tight b
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY. · Analyst brief as of 2026-06-22.
Across their last 20 scored bets: 70% hit rate, +2.06% mean alpha, trader score +2.04. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +3.6% since posting (mean over 44 mentions with price data).
BastianelliLore is most concentrated on NBIS, tying open-model and sovereign AI demand to continued infrastructure buildout. They are constructive on HIMS growth and MELI rerating potential, but showed caution around HIMS crowd behavior and a visible RKLB shift from valuation skepticism to target-case framing.
Conviction is concentrated in NBIS, where repeated bullish posts connect open-weight models, sovereign AI demand, and ongoing datacenter buildout. The clearest flip is RKLB, moving from priced-in skepticism on June 14 to target-case framing on June 17; HIMS remains constructive on fundamentals but tempered by a June 18 caution about cult-like discourse. Pump-risk is highest in NBIS and other single-ticker themes because several clusters are dominated by one name.
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-02 | NBIS | @BastianelliLore | +0.20 | Mentions NBIS x PLTR with eyes emoji but no details. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | PLTR | @BastianelliLore | +0.20 | Mentions NBIS x PLTR with eyes emoji but no details. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | ODD | @BastianelliLore | +0.20 | Lists learning-loop companies as a thematic basket. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | DUOL | @BastianelliLore | +0.20 | Lists learning-loop companies as a thematic basket. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | HIMS | @BastianelliLore | +0.20 | Lists learning-loop companies as a thematic basket. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | ZETA | @BastianelliLore | +0.20 | Lists learning-loop companies as a thematic basket. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | LMND | @BastianelliLore | +0.20 | Lists learning-loop companies as a thematic basket. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | TSLA | @BastianelliLore | +0.20 | Lists learning-loop companies as a thematic basket. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | NVDA | @BastianelliLore | +0.25 | Predicts NBIS will become Nvidia's biggest customer in a few years. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | NBIS | @BastianelliLore | +0.45 | Predicts NBIS will become Nvidia's biggest customer in a few years. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | SPCX | @BastianelliLore | +0.05 | Says Peter Beck is positioning RKLB beside AMZN and SPCX when discussing spectrum. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | AMZN | @BastianelliLore | +0.05 | Says Peter Beck is positioning RKLB beside AMZN and SPCX when discussing spectrum. | +0.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | RKLB | @BastianelliLore | +0.40 | Says Peter Beck is positioning RKLB beside AMZN and SPCX when discussing spectrum. | +0.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | NBIS | @BastianelliLore | +0.35 | Says Karp is basically pitching NBIS. | -5.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | NBIS | @BastianelliLore | -0.35 | Predicts US restrictions on Chinese AI models could be a short-term headwind for NBIS. | -21.9% | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.