Author
@CapexAndChill CapexAndChill
grade Ax.com/CapexAndChill ↗
Long-only quality-compounder bull dissecting LatAm fintech and the AI-infra stack
Writes long-form, transcript- and metric-grounded fundamenta
trader score
+1.07
hit rate
75%
mean α
+0.30%
signals 14d
110
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Across their last 20 scored bets: 75% hit rate, +0.30% mean alpha, trader score +1.07. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -2.9% since posting (mean over 95 mentions with price data).
Recent signals15receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | MELI | @CapexAndChill | +0.65 | Argues MELI's integrated marketplace stack deepens seller dependence and monetization. | -1.3% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | MELI | @CapexAndChill | +0.60 | Uses low Colombian e-commerce penetration versus peers to support MELI's growth runway. | -1.3% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | AXON | @CapexAndChill | -0.25 | Says Axon needs roughly another 20% decline before a new position becomes attractive. | +7.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | MSFT | @CapexAndChill | +0.10 | Shares Nadella's statement promoting an employee ownership mindset. | -0.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | NVDA | @CapexAndChill | -0.15 | Cites Huang identifying land, power and construction as obstacles to 2027 AI capacity. | -1.5% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | NVDA | @CapexAndChill | +0.35 | Cites Huang arguing that AI customers generate real revenue and profits. | -2.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | AVGO | @CapexAndChill | -0.20 | Highlights executive criticism that enterprise token spending lacks clear return on investment. | -6.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | UBER | @CapexAndChill | +0.50 | Uses Germany's low ride-hailing penetration versus the UK to support Uber's runway. | -6.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | BN | @CapexAndChill | +0.45 | Reports Brookfield sees no pause in AI buildout while emphasizing asset and counterparty quality. | +3.2% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | NVDA | @CapexAndChill | +0.55 | Cites Huang saying token costs fall 30 to 40 times yearly, expanding customer benefits. | -4.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | MELI | @CapexAndChill | +0.40 | Says a prior bullish MercadoLibre view now appears validated. | -1.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | MELI | @CapexAndChill | +0.55 | Describes MercadoLibre's internally built full-funnel advertising suite and $2 billion business. | -1.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | UBER | @CapexAndChill | +0.55 | Uber's CEO says delivery has grown to half the business and may exceed mobility in scale. | -3.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | NU | @CapexAndChill | +0.50 | Nu describes its US launch and stablecoin-backed account expansion to as many as 35 countries. | +1.5% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | NU | @CapexAndChill | +0.35 | Explains Nu's early US launch as a way to accelerate customer testing and iteration. | +1.5% | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.