Author

@CasinoCapital CasinoCapital

Contrarian UK-macro and special-situations commentator with reasoned, regulation-aware theses

Posts conversational, reply-heavy commentary mixing contrari

trader score
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hit rate
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mean α
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signals 14d
9

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Not yet in the scored-bets universe (fewer than 20 scoreable calls). Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +6.7% since posting (mean over 6 mentions with price data).

Recent signals9receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-10-15TTWO@CasinoCapital-0.65Sarcastically warns TTWO could suffer a Ubisoft-like collapse after GTA6.-2.7%
2026-10-13BMBL@CasinoCapital+0.35Regrets selling the entire BMBL position one day before additional takeover upside.+0.2%
2026-10-13BMBL@CasinoCapital+0.50Discusses a takeover bid carrying a reported 138% premium for BMBL.+0.2%
2026-10-08GOOGL@CasinoCapital+0.20Approves a Google-related product development but the linked context is required-8.1%
2026-10-07·@CasinoCapital·Argues UK political parties persistently refuse to reduce longstanding tax rates.·
2026-10-06RNO.FP@CasinoCapital+0.55Considers buying Renault based on low sales valuation and a decent underlying business despite margin risks.·
2026-10-05·@CasinoCapital·Anecdote suggests US households appear financially fragile despite high incomes.·
2026-10-02SNAP@CasinoCapital+0.55Discloses a SNAP long and contrasts its revenue and valuation with ARM.+13.6%
2026-10-02ARM@CasinoCapital-0.10Discloses a SNAP long and contrasts its revenue and valuation with ARM.-31.6%

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.