Author
@CestrianInc CestrianInc
Disciplined research-service analyst pairing AI-infra macro themes with TA levels and a quant overlay
Cestrian Capital Research publishes thematic, technically-gr
trader score
+0.85
hit rate
60%
mean α
+0.97%
signals 14d
76
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Across their last 20 scored bets: 60% hit rate, +0.97% mean alpha, trader score +0.85. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -0.3% since posting (mean over 53 mentions with price data).
Recent signals15receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | · | @CestrianInc | · | Compares crypto exposure through native assets, ETFs and treasury companies. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | NVDA | @CestrianInc | +0.35 | Discloses staff personal-account longs alongside a Hold rating, targets, stop and Q3 revenue guide. | -4.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | NVDA | @CestrianInc | +0.25 | Summarizes Q3 guidance, trailing growth, an accumulation zone and a stop relative to the 200-day average. | -4.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | NVDA | @CestrianInc | +0.50 | Discloses a personal long while citing valuation work and a chart-supported $260 target. | -4.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | NVDA | @CestrianInc | +0.75 | Strongly rejects the overvaluation case using cash-flow multiple, growth, margin and net-cash data. | -4.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | NVDA | @CestrianInc | +0.20 | Cestrian cuts Nvidia to Hold after a run while setting $260 and $300 targets and a $189 stop. | -4.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | · | @CestrianInc | · | Downgrades an unnamed security from Accumulate to Hold after a run, with a $260 target and $189 stop. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | CRM | @CestrianInc | +0.70 | Discloses a CRM long and argues its 13x cash-flow valuation is attractive for 11% revenue growth. | +1.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | CRM | @CestrianInc | +0.75 | Discloses a personal CRM long and argues its valuation is attractive. | +24.5% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | CRM | @CestrianInc | +0.25 | Moves CRM stance from Accumulate to Hold after price exceeded the accumulation range. | +24.5% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | NVDA | @CestrianInc | +0.50 | Discloses a personal long position in Nvidia alongside an earnings note. | +3.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | NET | @CestrianInc | +0.25 | Reports Cloudflare's TAM estimate rising from $231B to $329B while expressing skepticism. | +5.2% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | NET | @CestrianInc | +0.45 | Publishes NET target, stop and re-entry levels alongside operating metrics. | +5.2% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | NET | @CestrianInc | -0.60 | Says NET is not a buy at current levels based on valuation and profitability details. | +5.2% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | NET | @CestrianInc | -0.20 | Discloses the analyst is holding NET but not buying at its rich valuation. | +5.2% | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.