Author
@CestrianInc CestrianInc
Disciplined research-service analyst pairing AI-infra macro themes with TA levels and a quant overlay
Cestrian Capital Research publishes thematic, technically-gr
trader score
-1.65
hit rate
35%
mean α
-1.50%
signals 14d
83
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Across their last 20 scored bets: 35% hit rate, -1.50% mean alpha, trader score -1.65. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -4.2% since posting (mean over 39 mentions with price data).
Recent signals15receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | ETH | @CestrianInc | +0.70 | States Ether support at $2,400 is holding and discloses a personal long position. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | ZROZ | @CestrianInc | +0.70 | Reaffirms a year-end thesis for higher bonds and equities and discloses a ZROZ long. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | SPX | @CestrianInc | +0.20 | SPX closed at 7,744 above key moving averages while the 10-year yield sat below its monthly high. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | ZROZ | @CestrianInc | +0.80 | Explicitly discloses a personal long position in ZROZ with a bullish tone. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | · | @CestrianInc | · | Argues that the traditional equity-research business model is effectively dead. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | SNOW | @CestrianInc | +0.40 | Reviews an existing SNOW butterfly position designed for consolidation before an upward move. | -2.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | CRWV | @CestrianInc | -0.70 | Calls CoreWeave a poor business because cash flow after capex deteriorates as it grows. | -22.2% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | · | @CestrianInc | · | Mocks equity commentators presenting themselves as bond bears. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | CRWV | @CestrianInc | -0.75 | Calls CoreWeave a poor business with a weak balance sheet while separating it from the sector. | -17.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | · | @CestrianInc | · | Sarcastically dismisses the claimed inflation scare. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | CRWV | @CestrianInc | -0.65 | Recaps a prior Do Nothing rating at $106 after the stock fell to $65. | -17.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | ASML | @CestrianInc | +0.00 | Points readers to live earnings-reaction coverage without stating a stance. | -4.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-13 | RBRK | @CestrianInc | -0.60 | Says Rubrik's business is sound but the stock is extremely expensive. | +8.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-13 | ASML | @CestrianInc | +0.00 | Recaps prior successful and unsuccessful ASML research calls. | -8.5% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-13 | ASML | @CestrianInc | +0.65 | States a bullish house view ahead of ASML earnings. | -8.5% | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.