@cevikfinance cevikfinance
Turkish AI-infrastructure swing trader mapping the full chip-to-power-to-space stack
Runs an original, education-flavored long-only swing/positio
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY. · Analyst brief as of 2026-06-22.
Across their last 20 scored bets: 65% hit rate, +1.25% mean alpha, trader score +1.08. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -7.6% since posting (mean over 112 mentions with price data).
The author is heavily concentrated in MU and the broader memory complex, repeatedly disclosing MU exposure and pushing a long-cycle memory thesis. Distinctive calls cluster around aggressive upside targets in NBIS, CRWV, CIFR, SOFI, NVDA and AVGO, while the author also uses macro/Fed commentary to support risk-on swing setups. The clearest two-sided late-window shift is INTC: puts were flagged first, then a bullish policy/foundry thesis followed the next morning.
Conviction is concentrated in MU and memory, with repeated bullish comments, position disclosures, and external analyst support. The author also pushed high-beta upside targets in NBIS, CRWV, CIFR, SOFI, NVDA and AVGO, while macro commentary stayed broadly risk-on. The only clear flip is INTC, moving from a planned put trade on June 17 to a bullish Trump-policy and foundry thesis on June 18.
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-03 | · | @cevikfinance | · | Author notes Korean market closed with a strong rise, contrary to expectations. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | GOOGL | @cevikfinance | +0.65 | Says Google did not die while Perplexity appears to be failing, with rocket emoji. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | · | @cevikfinance | · | Notes rotation from technology into healthcare, financials, and industrials but expects tech to return. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | SPX | @cevikfinance | +0.35 | States S&P 500 has not fallen in July for 11 years and expects seasonal bullish momentum. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | NDX | @cevikfinance | +0.45 | Says indices have not broken 50 EMA and believes uptrend will resume. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | SPX | @cevikfinance | +0.45 | Says indices have not broken 50 EMA and believes uptrend will resume. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | · | @cevikfinance | · | Expects Korean market to be much worse after Nasdaq decline. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | · | @cevikfinance | · | Says choppy market since June makes short-term trading difficult; favors waiting. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | · | @cevikfinance | · | Reports losses on swing trades this week. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | · | @cevikfinance | · | Reports weak payrolls versus expectations and says it supports rate-cut odds and stocks initially. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | · | @cevikfinance | · | Jokes that a signal marks the end of the software rally. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | NVDA | @cevikfinance | +0.35 | Says Jensen Huang stopped the chaos created by META, praising Nvidia leadership. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | META | @cevikfinance | -0.10 | Says Jensen Huang stopped the chaos created by META, praising Nvidia leadership. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | · | @cevikfinance | · | Says Nasdaq has been exhausting over the last month. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | · | @cevikfinance | · | Says money moved out of chip companies today. | · | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.