@cfaryanoconnell cfaryanoconnell
Hyperactive CFA momentum/options trader posting fast bullish tickered calls and TA levels
Posts a high-volume stream of intraday and swing trade ideas
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY. · Analyst brief as of 2026-10-18.
Across their last 20 scored bets: 60% hit rate, +1.93% mean alpha, trader score +2.56. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +0.5% since posting (mean over 47 mentions with price data).
The author calls for a QQQ rebound after CPI and posts an AAPL put trade; no positions are explicitly disclosed. Their distinctive read is that semiconductor weakness could produce a near-term rotation even while broad indexes consolidate near highs. By October 14, commentary emphasizes broken index support and failed stock setups, alongside the AAPL bearish trade.
No positions disclosed this window — everything below is commentary, not book talk.
| claim | ticker | dir | strength | signals | skin | theme | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IWM weakness threatens individual stock setups, with its close below the 200-day average marking a significant technical deterioration. | IWM | ▼ | 0.15 | 2 | · | Index resilience tested by deter | tweet ↗ |
| GME combines another $22.7 million Ryan Cohen purchase with relative strength and a prospective seventh consecutive weekly gain. | GME | ▲ | 0.12 | 2 | · | Selective stock strength despite | tweet ↗ |
| CRWV shares have suffered a sharp drawdown, while its 2031 debt interests the author as a potential purchase. | CRWV | ◆ | 0.08 | 2 | · | Growth stock drawdowns beneath h | tweet ↗ |
| QQQ faces downside risk at stretched prices and needs to hold key technical levels. | QQQ | ▼ | 0.05 | 3 | · | Index resilience tested by deter | tweet ↗ |
| SKHY's extended decline back toward its IPO price may offer a second buying opportunity. | SKHY | ▲ | 0.05 | 2 | · | Oversold semiconductor rotation | tweet ↗ |
| SPX remains constructive, with falling yields, seasonality and consolidation near prior highs supporting the bullish case. | SPX | ▲ | 0.04 | 2 | · | Index resilience tested by deter | tweet ↗ |
| SMH's five-day losing streak leaves semiconductors oversold and positioned for a near-term rotation. | SMH | ▲ | 0.04 | 2 | · | Oversold semiconductor rotation | tweet ↗ |
Attention is concentrated on index technicals and a potential oversold semiconductor rebound, with selective interest in SKHY and a preference for CRDO pending stabilization. The October 13 QQQ rebound call is followed by October 14 index-support warnings and an AAPL put trade, showing more defensive late-window commentary without establishing a closed or reversed position. GME represents 50% of the selective-strength theme, but no adds, trims or holdings are explicitly disclosed.
| ticker | signals | sentiment | calls | pos | news | action | alignment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QQQ | 7 | -0.06 | 1 | 0 | 0 | tactical | neutral |
| SPY | 6 | -0.09 | 0 | 0 | 1 | neutral commentary | neutral |
| SPX | 4 | +0.25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | neutral commentary | neutral |
| MU | 3 | +0.12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | neutral commentary | neutral |
| GME | 2 | +0.40 | 0 | 0 | 1 | bullish commentary | commentary only |
| SMH | 2 | +0.05 | 0 | 0 | 0 | neutral commentary | neutral |
| IWM | 2 | -0.45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | bearish commentary | commentary only |
| CRWV | 2 | -0.12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | neutral commentary | neutral |
| PLTR | 2 | +0.50 | 0 | 0 | 0 | bullish commentary | commentary only |
| SKHY | 2 | -0.05 | 0 | 0 | 0 | neutral commentary | neutral |
| SOXX | 2 | -0.33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | bearish commentary | commentary only |
| OUST | 1 | +0.65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | bullish commentary | commentary only |
| SPCX | 1 | +0.65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | bullish commentary | commentary only |
| AAPL | 1 | -0.75 | 1 | 0 | 0 | short call | no position bear call |
| PENG | 1 | +0.60 | 0 | 0 | 0 | bullish commentary | commentary only |
| NVDA | 1 | -0.05 | 0 | 0 | 0 | neutral commentary | neutral |
| CBRS | 1 | -0.55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | bearish commentary | commentary only |
| NOW | 1 | +0.30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | bullish commentary | commentary only |
| CIFR | 1 | -0.50 | 0 | 0 | 0 | bearish commentary | commentary only |
| XOM | 1 | +0.50 | 0 | 0 | 0 | bullish commentary | commentary only |
| ASTS | 1 | -0.50 | 0 | 0 | 0 | bearish commentary | commentary only |
| RKLB | 1 | -0.50 | 0 | 0 | 0 | bearish commentary | commentary only |
| SXOL | 1 | +0.45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | bullish commentary | commentary only |
| XOP | 1 | +0.25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | neutral commentary | neutral |
| IREN | 1 | -0.50 | 0 | 0 | 0 | bearish commentary | commentary only |
| NBIS | 1 | -0.40 | 0 | 0 | 0 | bearish commentary | commentary only |
| CRDO | 1 | +0.45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | bullish commentary | commentary only |
| RDW | 1 | -0.50 | 0 | 0 | 0 | bearish commentary | commentary only |
| AAOI | 1 | +0.20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | neutral commentary | neutral |
| NDX | 1 | +0.65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | bullish commentary | commentary only |
| MRNA | 1 | +0.50 | 0 | 0 | 0 | bullish commentary | commentary only |
| SCHD | 1 | +0.30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | bullish commentary | commentary only |
| VIX | 1 | +0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | neutral commentary | neutral |
| IGF | 1 | +0.30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | bullish commentary | commentary only |
Alignment separates skin-in-the-game from commentary: ✓ = the author discloses a position consistent with their talk; “call (no pos)” = directional call without a disclosed position; “commentary” = opinion only.
initiate long 1
| date | ticker | what they said | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-13 | QQQ | Calls for QQQ to turn green after CPI, led by oversold chip and memory stocks; execution is not disclosed. | tweet ↗ |
initiate short 1
| date | ticker | what they said | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-14 | AAPL | Posts a bearish options trade: AAPL 340 puts expiring October 16 at a 1.27 premium. | tweet ↗ |
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-14 | IWM | @cfaryanoconnell | -0.60 | IWM closed below its 200-day average for the first time since March by a 16-month-record margin. | +1.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | SCHD | @cfaryanoconnell | +0.30 | SCHD's monthly chart is holding a rising Ichimoku Tenkan as support. | +4.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | IWM | @cfaryanoconnell | -0.30 | Warns that weak major indices can invalidate individual stock setups. | +1.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | SPY | @cfaryanoconnell | -0.30 | Warns that weak major indices can invalidate individual stock setups. | -1.3% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | QQQ | @cfaryanoconnell | -0.30 | Warns that weak major indices can invalidate individual stock setups. | -3.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | GME | @cfaryanoconnell | +0.50 | GME is the only green stock cited and is headed for a seventh consecutive weekly gain. | -8.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | AAPL | @cfaryanoconnell | -0.75 | Enter AAPL 340 puts expiring October 16 at 1.27. — Posts a specific AAPL put strike, expiry and premium as a trade. | +1.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | SPY | @cfaryanoconnell | +0.00 | Reports $7,214.04 of monthly profit from a SPY 0DTE options challenge. | -1.3% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | CRWV | @cfaryanoconnell | +0.25 | Expresses interest in buying CRWV 2031 debt but without a concrete entry. | -17.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | MRNA | @cfaryanoconnell | +0.50 | MRNA is up 4% and again near multi-year highs. | -11.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | QQQ | @cfaryanoconnell | +0.00 | QQQ touched its 50-day moving average. | -3.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | SPY | @cfaryanoconnell | -0.35 | Criticizes shifting bullish SPY commentary after key short-term averages were breached. | -1.3% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | SPX | @cfaryanoconnell | +0.00 | Lists five SPX trading levels for October 14 without entry intent. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | SPX | @cfaryanoconnell | +0.00 | Tracks a 54-day streak against stated SPX decline and VIX-close thresholds. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | VIX | @cfaryanoconnell | +0.00 | Tracks a 54-day streak against stated SPX decline and VIX-close thresholds. | · | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.