Author · brief 2026-06-22

@chad_ventures chad_ventures

Prolific chart-tactician calling falsifiable levels on crypto-miners, semis, and space names

Posts high-volume technical analysis with specific support/r

trader score
-0.61
hit rate
25%
mean α
-1.00%
signals 14d
176

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY. · Analyst brief as of 2026-06-22.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 20 scored bets: 25% hit rate, -1.00% mean alpha, trader score -0.61. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -3.9% since posting (mean over 144 mentions with price data).

Chart-driven bullishness clusters in semis, miners, and fintech

chad_ventures is mostly trading technical breakouts and support holds, with the strongest concentration in semis/AI hardware, Bitcoin miners, crypto beta, and select fintech/consumer-growth names. The distinctive read is a Gann/Fibonacci-led upside framework with large explicit targets on AMD, SMH, NVDA, CIFR, HUT, RIOT, and GLXY. Late-week emphasis shifts toward confirmed upside setups in SMH, miners, HIMS, COIN, and select mega-cap tech while crude remains the clearest bearish macro read.

Themes6analyst read · 2026-06-22
Semiconductor and AI hardware breakout targets
bullconsistent24 signals
Bitcoin miners and crypto beta upside setups
bullconsistent49 signals
Fintech and consumer growth support reversals
mixedconsistent30 signals
Broad index and mega-cap technical regime
bullconsistent39 signals
Small-cap speculative breakouts and squeeze charts
mixedfading44 signals
Macro commodity and dollar caution
bearfading11 signals
⚠ 64% of theme signals are CL — flag pump risk
Direction this week

Conviction is concentrated in technical upside targets for semis, AI hardware, crypto miners, and crypto beta, with explicit long calls late in the window on CIFR, NVDA, GLXY, HUT, RIOT, and SMH. The week shows a tilt from broad chart-watching into more target-driven bullish calls by June 18-21, while the only clean bearish macro stance is crude oil breaking down. Pump-risk is most visible where single-name chart setups repeat inside speculative clusters, especially HIMS, COIN, HOOD, and miner names, though no large multi-signal position disclosure appears beyond HOOD buying.

Position disclosures1skin in the game
HOOD Author says HOOD returning to resistance was a reason he was buying added
Best hypotheses5their highest-scoring claims in our index
CLSK technical breakout, golden cross, and cloud/Fib clears imply upside toward 21, 25, 34, 40 or a possible double.
bullHIGH6 co-supporters
Capitulation volume and lower Bollinger-band support suggest TIGR may be forming a tradable bottom.
bullMEDIUM2 co-supporters
Generic long disclosures and watchlist posts indicate traders are still willing to own or promote DOGE without a detaile
flagMEDIUM13 co-supporters
IREN’s rally faced major resistance and high-beta AI infrastructure weakness, creating pullback or trim risk.
bearHIGH6 co-supporters
CIFR’s breakout above $25 and new all-time highs open price discovery toward $30-$53 technical targets.
bullMEDIUM9 co-supporters
Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-07-02ETH@chad_ventures+0.25ETH is back at a major monthly positioning shelf; bullish signals would raise bottom odds.·
2026-07-02RIVN@chad_ventures+0.20References RIVN move after a trend line touch with chart context required.
2026-07-02RIVN@chad_ventures+0.55Author says they DCAed RIVN around $14 alongside big players.
2026-07-02RIVN@chad_ventures+0.55RIVN closed above $17-$17.50 resistance from Fibonacci and Gann levels.
2026-07-02OPEN@chad_ventures+0.60Sees potential impulsive upside if OPEN holds above 20-week SMA and breaks $5.35.
2026-07-02SOFI@chad_ventures+0.50Author likes SOFI chart, citing support, double bottom, reclaim, and intact uptrend.
2026-07-02HOOD@chad_ventures+0.45Says HOOD may proceed to the next Gann arc if weekly closes stay above a horizontal level.
2026-07-02COIN@chad_ventures+0.35COIN held arc lower bound and horizontal support zone, then reacted upward.
2026-07-02·@chad_ventures·Bitcoin monthly system previously marked bull and bear signals; now waiting for bullish signals.·
2026-07-02IREN@chad_ventures-0.35Meridian panels flipped bearish on IREN and selloff continued; author awaits renewed bullish signals.
2026-07-02TSLA@chad_ventures+0.00Discusses Meridian strategy entries/exits with TSLA weekly example but no specific stance.
2026-07-02GLXY@chad_ventures+0.00GLXY is described as range-bound between $24 and $34 after breakout and backtest.
2026-07-02HIMS@chad_ventures+0.15Backtested system across 130+ names; says flagship profitable on roughly 95%, HIMS weekly attached.
2026-07-02MRNA@chad_ventures+0.50Recaps MRNA move from $56 to $78 after prior bullish signals.
2026-07-02RIVN@chad_ventures+0.65Author says they accumulated RIVN and it could be ready to run after breaching resistance.

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.