Author
@charliebilello charliebilello
grade Bx.com/charliebilello ↗
Prolific data-chart publisher anchoring markets in clean numbers and historical base rates
Publishes high-frequency, original data charts and tables on
trader score
-0.17
hit rate
30%
mean α
-0.07%
signals 14d
72
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Across their last 20 scored bets: 30% hit rate, -0.07% mean alpha, trader score -0.17. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -1.4% since posting (mean over 17 mentions with price data).
Recent signals15receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | · | @charliebilello | · | Presents global inflation-rate data in an unseen chart. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | · | @charliebilello | · | South Korea raised rates 25 bps to 3.00% and signaled further hikes. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | NVDA | @charliebilello | +0.60 | Reports Nvidia's sixteenth consecutive quarterly revenue beat. | -4.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | SPCX | @charliebilello | +0.45 | Compares explicit Q2 year-over-year revenue growth rates across major companies. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | TSLA | @charliebilello | +0.25 | Compares explicit Q2 year-over-year revenue growth rates across major companies. | -1.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | META | @charliebilello | +0.25 | Compares explicit Q2 year-over-year revenue growth rates across major companies. | +1.2% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | NVDA | @charliebilello | +0.45 | Compares explicit Q2 year-over-year revenue growth rates across major companies. | -4.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | AVGO | @charliebilello | +0.35 | Compares explicit Q2 year-over-year revenue growth rates across major companies. | -0.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | AMD | @charliebilello | +0.35 | Compares explicit Q2 year-over-year revenue growth rates across major companies. | -2.3% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | NVDA | @charliebilello | +0.60 | Reports record Q2 revenue and net income plus a strong Q3 revenue projection. | -4.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | · | @charliebilello | · | Frames the economy as moving closer to a sovereign debt crisis. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | · | @charliebilello | · | Mocks prior claims that rapid real GDP growth would resolve the deficit and debt problem. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | · | @charliebilello | · | Reports July core PCE at 3.3%, marking 65 months above the Fed's target. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-25 | · | @charliebilello | · | Highlights Druckenmiller's thesis that government price support ultimately loses to fundamentals. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-25 | · | @charliebilello | · | Druckenmiller argues government price defenses ultimately fail when they conflict with fundamentals. | · | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.