Author

@ChemStat66667 ChemStat66667

Japanese fundamental analyst dissecting the AI/semis supply chain chart by chart

Posts dense, chart-backed Japanese-language fundamental comm

trader score
+1.54
hit rate
75%
mean α
+0.71%
signals 14d
21

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 20 scored bets: 75% hit rate, +0.71% mean alpha, trader score +1.54. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +1.4% since posting (mean over 5 mentions with price data).

Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-10-11·@ChemStat66667·Says Yaskawa's motor and inverter units are benefiting from AI-server demand.·
2026-10-112735.T@ChemStat66667+0.20Notes Watts' lower procurement costs and suggests Chinese deflation may offset yen weakness.·
2026-10-112735.T@ChemStat66667+0.40Views Watts' profitability despite yen weakness and limited pricing power as surprisingly strong.·
2026-10-11·@ChemStat66667·Praises Sansan's clean and continuing Q2 growth, with the chart needed for detail.·
2026-10-10·@ChemStat66667·Praises Osaka Organic's electronic-materials division for a strong V-shaped earnings recovery.·
2026-10-10·@ChemStat66667·Cites Osaka Organic's Q3 acceleration as evidence of a powerful semiconductor upcycle.·
2026-10-10·@ChemStat66667·Compares monthly revenue across Foxconn, TSMC, ASE and Unimicron to assess differing AI-cycle benefits.·
2026-10-10·@ChemStat66667·GlobalWafers monthly sales show no apparent AI-related benefit.·
2026-10-10·@ChemStat66667·MediaTek September sales remain sluggish, prompting concern about missing AI ASIC business.·
2026-10-10·@ChemStat66667·Unimicron monthly sales are accelerating, viewed positively for peer Ibiden's earnings.·
2026-10-09INTC@ChemStat66667-0.15Notes strong North American sales but jokes that wording appears to exclude Intel.-16.9%
2026-10-09·@ChemStat66667·Foxconn monthly sales are described as exceptionally strong from AI servers and iPhone manufacturing.·
2026-10-09·@ChemStat66667·Nanya monthly revenue was flat in July–September, leaving the next reading important.·
2026-10-09UMC@ChemStat66667+0.55Says UMC September sales were strong and recovered to pandemic-boom levels.-17.7%
2026-10-09TSM@ChemStat66667+0.45Sarcastically dismisses an AI-bubble collapse despite a slight monthly sales dip.-7.7%

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.