Author

@ChemStat66667 ChemStat66667

Japanese fundamental analyst dissecting the AI/semis supply chain chart by chart

Posts dense, chart-backed Japanese-language fundamental comm

trader score
+0.78
hit rate
40%
mean α
+0.46%
signals 14d
64

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 20 scored bets: 40% hit rate, +0.46% mean alpha, trader score +0.78. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -0.1% since posting (mean over 10 mentions with price data).

Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-08-28NVDA@ChemStat66667+0.10Observes a sharp rise in Nvidia revenue routed through Taiwan.
2026-08-28·@ChemStat66667·Reports that private company BASE is being acquired into the SBI group.·
2026-08-28·@ChemStat66667·Compares deposit trends around Japanese bank ownership changes.·
2026-08-28MRVL@ChemStat66667+0.55Says Marvell's Q2 growth is accelerating after a prolonged loss period.
2026-08-28SNPS@ChemStat66667+0.55Describes a sharp Q3 profit recovery and asks whether strong earnings can continue.
2026-08-27·@ChemStat66667·Reports Mercari receivables near ¥50B and a three-point rate increase.·
2026-08-27NVDA@ChemStat66667+0.70Highlights a chart showing Nvidia's profit and value-add accelerating since ChatGPT's release.-4.6%
2026-08-26·@ChemStat66667·Discusses CATL-led battery growth alongside the risk of destructive industry investment competition.·
2026-08-26·@ChemStat66667·Frames LCD and solar price collapses as beneficial to consumers but destructive to manufacturers.·
2026-08-25JKS@ChemStat66667-0.60Says major Chinese solar manufacturers are loss-making amid extreme domestic competition.·
2026-08-25·@ChemStat66667·Argues brutal Chinese display competition left even market leader BOE with poor profitability.·
2026-08-25·@ChemStat66667·Says Chinese solar-panel manufacturers are unprofitable because of severe oversupply.·
2026-08-25·@ChemStat66667·Welcomes wasteful AI usage because it ultimately benefits the semiconductor industry.·
2026-08-25·@ChemStat66667·Expresses hope that Mercari can use Japanese IP to expand overseas, but no ticker is given.·
2026-08-24·@ChemStat66667·Says au Jibun Bank's weak fees are dragging profits despite positive investment income.·

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.