Author

@chigrl chigrl

Commodities/energy macro specialist mapping physical supply chains to cross-asset moves

Real-time commodities and energy markets analysis blending p

trader score
-0.38
hit rate
64%
mean α
-0.65%
signals 14d
89

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 11 scored bets: 64% hit rate, -0.65% mean alpha, trader score -0.38. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +2.6% since posting (mean over 11 mentions with price data).

Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-10-16·@chigrl·Endorses fiscal discipline while observing that it has not won US elections.·
2026-10-16·@chigrl·Clarifies that physically deliverable oil contracts trade substantially above ICE Brent.·
2026-10-16·@chigrl·Clarifies a comparison between financially settled futures and physically traded contracts.·
2026-10-16·@chigrl·Explains why unauthorized traders moved from November to December WTI after options expiry.·
2026-10-16·@chigrl·Bloomberg reports a persistent ship-fuel squeeze despite increased Hormuz crude flows.·
2026-10-16·@chigrl·US hot-rolled coil reached a four-year high at $1,255 per ton, up 52% over the year.·
2026-10-16·@chigrl·Iran reports a tanker on fire near the Strait of Hormuz.·
2026-10-16·@chigrl·Reuters reports Indian diesel sales rose 26.4% monthly and 25.4% yearly in early October.·
2026-10-16·@chigrl·Jeff Currie argues Brent is disconnected from physical energy markets and creating unpriceable risk.·
2026-10-15ORCL@chigrl-0.50Reports widening CDS and credit distress across three technology companies.-6.2%
2026-10-15CRWV@chigrl-0.50Reports widening CDS and credit distress across three technology companies.-22.2%
2026-10-15NVDA@chigrl-0.50Reports widening CDS and credit distress across three technology companies.-2.9%
2026-10-15·@chigrl·Quantifies an unspecified amount against global and US consumption.·
2026-10-15·@chigrl·Reports Shadowbox Studios plans for a 651-megawatt Georgia data center.·
2026-10-15·@chigrl·Argues soaring oil-shipping costs will feed sustained consumer-price inflation.·

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.