Author
@ConnorJBates_ ConnorJBates_
grade Bx.com/ConnorJBates_ ↗
Disciplined momentum trader surfing AI/semis leadership with positioning-aware, base-rate-grounded chart calls
Identifies and tracks leading themes and stocks via stage an
trader score
-0.78
hit rate
20%
mean α
-0.50%
signals 14d
173
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Across their last 20 scored bets: 20% hit rate, -0.50% mean alpha, trader score -0.78. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -7.9% since posting (mean over 120 mentions with price data).
Recent signals15receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-14 | · | @ConnorJBates_ | · | Reports October rate-hike probability has risen to 50%. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | HPE | @ConnorJBates_ | -0.40 | Barclays downgraded all three hardware companies on demand and valuation concerns. | -10.2% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | NTAP | @ConnorJBates_ | -0.40 | Barclays downgraded all three hardware companies on demand and valuation concerns. | -3.0% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | DELL | @ConnorJBates_ | -0.40 | Barclays downgraded all three hardware companies on demand and valuation concerns. | -10.1% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | ASML | @ConnorJBates_ | +0.65 | ASML beat earnings, guided Q4 revenue above consensus and cited supply constraints. | -4.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-13 | BETR | @ConnorJBates_ | -0.65 | The author mockingly dismisses a $13,000 BETR price target. | +86.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-13 | CEG | @ConnorJBates_ | +0.55 | Author likes the setups and says depressed positioning increases conviction. | -14.3% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-13 | TLN | @ConnorJBates_ | +0.55 | Author likes the setups and says depressed positioning increases conviction. | -14.2% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-13 | PWR | @ConnorJBates_ | +0.55 | Author likes the setups and says depressed positioning increases conviction. | -20.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-13 | BE | @ConnorJBates_ | +0.55 | Author likes the setups and says depressed positioning increases conviction. | -26.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-13 | GEV | @ConnorJBates_ | +0.55 | Author likes the setups and says depressed positioning increases conviction. | -18.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-13 | VST | @ConnorJBates_ | +0.55 | Author likes the setups and says depressed positioning increases conviction. | -13.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-13 | MSFT | @ConnorJBates_ | +0.35 | Author contrasts a former bearish top near $350 with current leadership at $543. | -3.5% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-13 | · | @ConnorJBates_ | · | Author characterizes markets as range-bound and advocates buying support and selling pivots. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-13 | NASI | @ConnorJBates_ | +0.45 | Oversold RSI and improving MACD are cited as setting up a rebound. | · | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.