Author
@ConvexValue ConvexValue
Options-analytics vendor publishing dealer-gamma and implied-probability dashboards via cvforge
Run an options-data/analytics product (ConvexValue / cvforge
trader score
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hit rate
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mean α
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signals 14d
37
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Not yet in the scored-bets universe (fewer than 20 scoreable calls). Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -7.3% since posting (mean over 21 mentions with price data).
Recent signals15receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-03 | MU | @ConvexValue | +0.25 | Options dashboard says MU options look cheap versus recent realized vol with downside skew. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | SPX | @ConvexValue | +0.00 | Dashboard links NFP actual vs expected to same-day SPX reactions. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | QQQ | @ConvexValue | +0.15 | Describes QQQ weekly analog finder with match stats and forward return distribution. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | IREN | @ConvexValue | +0.00 | Mentions dashboard for IREN founder compensation, insider sales, and stock price. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | SPY | @ConvexValue | +0.00 | Describes historical performance analysis for a past SPY straddle trade. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | SNDK | @ConvexValue | +0.00 | Example dashboard prompt covers options activity, price action, and news for MU and SNDK. | -14.1% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | MU | @ConvexValue | +0.00 | Example dashboard prompt covers options activity, price action, and news for MU and SNDK. | -5.5% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | SPX | @ConvexValue | +0.00 | Example dashboard fetches SPX and economic indicators to analyze statistical relationships. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | BE | @ConvexValue | +0.10 | Dashboard summary cites BE options, spot, +8.22% close, put/call and unusual activity metrics. | -10.5% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | MU | @ConvexValue | +0.00 | Example dashboard analyzes December strangles and straddles on MU since start of year. | -15.5% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | MSFT | @ConvexValue | +0.00 | Example dashboard creates realized versus implied probability cones for MSFT. | +4.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-29 | SPX | @ConvexValue | +0.00 | Product demo says it fetched historical SPX prices and reproduced a chart. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-29 | RTY | @ConvexValue | +0.00 | Product demo says it fetched historical SPY and RTY data going back to 1979. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-29 | SPY | @ConvexValue | +0.00 | Product demo says it fetched historical SPY and RTY data going back to 1979. | +0.5% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-29 | MU | @ConvexValue | +0.00 | Product demo analyzes MU analyst ratings and historical price relationship. | -14.8% | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.