Author

@dagoonglove dagoonglove

Bottom-up AI-semiconductor supply-chain analyst rotating on valuation, long-only and transparent

Writes long-form fundamental/valuation theses on AI-infrastr

trader score
-0.33
hit rate
40%
mean α
-0.29%
signals 14d
16

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 20 scored bets: 40% hit rate, -0.29% mean alpha, trader score -0.33. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -11.5% since posting (mean over 13 mentions with price data).

Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-08-18LITE@dagoonglove+0.55Recommends Lumentum and Coherent as better options because new products may expand margins.+2.5%
2026-08-18COHR@dagoonglove+0.55Recommends Lumentum and Coherent as better options because new products may expand margins.-8.9%
2026-08-17SPCX@dagoonglove+0.70Values SpaceX at $2.2–2.4T base and above $3T if Grok sustains frontier status and monetizes AI demand.·
2026-08-17MU@dagoonglove+0.65Argues memory is indispensable to achieving AGI, supporting a bullish structural view of Micron.-7.8%
2026-08-17SITM@dagoonglove+0.80Says SiTime is just beginning and could rise two to three times by 2027 due to data-center changes.-25.6%
2026-08-17LITE@dagoonglove+0.80Maps the AI-optics value chain and favors Lumentum as the strongest beneficiary of InP scarcity and content growth.-7.6%
2026-08-17AXTI@dagoonglove+0.65Maps the AI-optics value chain and favors Lumentum as the strongest beneficiary of InP scarcity and content growth.-38.9%
2026-08-17COHR@dagoonglove+0.40Maps the AI-optics value chain and favors Lumentum as the strongest beneficiary of InP scarcity and content growth.-20.5%
2026-08-16SPCX@dagoonglove+0.85Discloses a portfolio shift replacing Tesla with SpaceX as the principal long-term core company.·
2026-08-16TSLA@dagoonglove-0.45Discloses a portfolio shift replacing Tesla with SpaceX as the principal long-term core company.+1.9%
2026-08-16MPWR@dagoonglove+0.60Builds a long-term AI infrastructure basket around power, memory, networking, optics and cooling economics.-10.4%
2026-08-16CRDO@dagoonglove+0.55Builds a long-term AI infrastructure basket around power, memory, networking, optics and cooling economics.-10.4%
2026-08-16LITE@dagoonglove+0.55Builds a long-term AI infrastructure basket around power, memory, networking, optics and cooling economics.-3.4%
2026-08-16VRT@dagoonglove+0.60Builds a long-term AI infrastructure basket around power, memory, networking, optics and cooling economics.-12.5%
2026-08-16MU@dagoonglove+0.60Builds a long-term AI infrastructure basket around power, memory, networking, optics and cooling economics.-4.0%

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.