Author

@dailychartbook dailychartbook

Anonymous data-chart curator relaying institutional macro research with disciplined base-rate framing

Aggregates and lightly synthesizes charts, data points, and

trader score
-0.82
hit rate
36%
mean α
-0.69%
signals 14d
75

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 14 scored bets: 36% hit rate, -0.69% mean alpha, trader score -0.82. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -1.2% since posting (mean over 4 mentions with price data).

Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-08-28·@dailychartbook·Reports the equal-weight software index is near its highest monthly close on record.·
2026-08-28·@dailychartbook·JPMorgan says retail bought semiconductors and sold software, leaving positioning against a relative breakout.·
2026-08-28·@dailychartbook·NAAIM exposure reached 102.7, a two-year high indicating leveraged bullish positioning.·
2026-08-28·@dailychartbook·Reports longer-maturity Treasury buybacks reached $40B YTD versus $22B a year earlier.·
2026-08-28·@dailychartbook·Argues the U.S. deficit is dangerously large for the current economic cycle.·
2026-08-27·@dailychartbook·Reports record July resale-home prices while new-home median prices hit a five-year low.·
2026-08-27·@dailychartbook·Reports most S&P 500 firms with large estimate revisions have experienced valuation multiple compression.·
2026-08-27·@dailychartbook·South Korean exports are cited as evidence that AI demand is becoming real economic demand.·
2026-08-27·@dailychartbook·Cites gold's historical seasonal pattern as a constructive signal.·
2026-08-27·@dailychartbook·Argues the era of foreign reserve recycling into U.S. Treasuries is ending.·
2026-08-27·@dailychartbook·Reports broader core-PCE inflation, with more categories above 3% than a year ago.·
2026-08-26·@dailychartbook·JPMorgan cites semiconductor drawdown and positive-year base rates since 1995.·
2026-08-26·@dailychartbook·States that longer holding periods increase the historical odds of positive returns.·
2026-08-26·@dailychartbook·Warns semiconductor earnings growth may be cresting with its historical cycle.·
2026-08-26SPX@dailychartbook+0.10Reports AI mentions outside tech in S&P 500 calls at about 2.7 times last year's level.·

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.