Author

@dailydirtnap dailydirtnap

Named newsletter macro pundit calling market regimes via historical analogs and sentiment

Posts cycle/regime macro commentary and occasional cross-ass

trader score
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hit rate
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mean α
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signals 14d
8

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Not yet in the scored-bets universe (fewer than 20 scoreable calls). Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -7.3% since posting (mean over 2 mentions with price data).

Recent signals8receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-08-26·@dailydirtnap·Characterizes socialism as a permanent recessionary regime.·
2026-08-25CVNA@dailydirtnap-0.65Compares Carvana to failed dot-com-era company Webvan, implying a bearish view.-2.3%
2026-08-25·@dailydirtnap·Discloses owning substantially more than $1 million in gold.·
2026-08-21·@dailydirtnap·Paradoxically frames the absence of a conventional bond bull case as bullish.·
2026-08-21·@dailydirtnap·States continued preference for bonds at current levels.·
2026-08-21·@dailydirtnap·Advocates a simplified tax structure modeled on the 1988 brackets.·
2026-08-19·@dailydirtnap·Claims realized profits from the day's bond buybacks without a forward trade signal.·
2026-08-17SNDK@dailydirtnap+0.35Notes the price of 1TB SanDisk USB drives rose from $99 last year to $269 today.-16.9%

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.