Author
@DanielMuvdiYT DanielMuvdiYT
grade Bx.com/DanielMuvdiYT ↗
Spanish-language macro bear deconstructing the AI-capex bubble with credit-cycle and second-order logic
Original analyst/educator publishing a high-conviction late-
trader score
-2.11
hit rate
35%
mean α
-1.38%
signals 14d
76
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Across their last 20 scored bets: 35% hit rate, -1.38% mean alpha, trader score -2.11. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +3.2% since posting (mean over 48 mentions with price data).
Recent signals15receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | · | @DanielMuvdiYT | · | Describes defensive and energy longs against AI shorts as credit stress spreads through neoclouds. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | SPCX | @DanielMuvdiYT | +0.00 | Argues a hypothetical Tesla-SpaceX exchange could transfer substantial value away from Tesla shareholders. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | TSLA | @DanielMuvdiYT | -0.60 | Argues a hypothetical Tesla-SpaceX exchange could transfer substantial value away from Tesla shareholders. | +4.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | TSLA | @DanielMuvdiYT | +0.45 | Expresses strong enthusiasm for the Roadster's SpaceX-derived technology. | +2.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | MSTR | @DanielMuvdiYT | -0.50 | Reports that MSCI will remove Strategy from its indices. | -3.5% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | · | @DanielMuvdiYT | · | Argues intense model competition and price cuts will sharply reduce sector revenue. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | AAPL | @DanielMuvdiYT | +0.70 | Bullish thesis favors local open-weight AI and names Meta, Apple and Microsoft as preferred megacaps. | +1.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | META | @DanielMuvdiYT | +0.70 | Bullish thesis favors local open-weight AI and names Meta, Apple and Microsoft as preferred megacaps. | -12.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | MSFT | @DanielMuvdiYT | +0.55 | Bullish thesis favors local open-weight AI and names Meta, Apple and Microsoft as preferred megacaps. | -2.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | · | @DanielMuvdiYT | · | Reports hotter-than-expected producer inflation alongside softer retail sales. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | TLT | @DanielMuvdiYT | +0.20 | Brief positive chart commentary requires the attached media for interpretation. | +1.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | NKE | @DanielMuvdiYT | +0.50 | Celebrates portfolio gains and implies Nike contributed, without a new forward trade. | +0.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | MU | @DanielMuvdiYT | -0.60 | Criticizes semiconductor-memory and AI-hardware bulls for missing downside risks. | -5.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | SNDK | @DanielMuvdiYT | -0.60 | Criticizes semiconductor-memory and AI-hardware bulls for missing downside risks. | -11.2% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | COHR | @DanielMuvdiYT | -0.55 | Criticizes semiconductor-memory and AI-hardware bulls for missing downside risks. | -16.5% | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.