Author
@davevermilion davevermilion
grade Ax.com/davevermilion ↗
CMT technician calling sector rotation via relative strength and historical base rates
Posts intermarket and relative-strength analysis identifying
trader score
-2.22
hit rate
25%
mean α
-0.93%
signals 14d
141
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Across their last 20 scored bets: 25% hit rate, -0.93% mean alpha, trader score -2.22. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -0.6% since posting (mean over 64 mentions with price data).
Recent signals15receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | CSCO | @davevermilion | +0.05 | Notes CSCO initially held up better than the market after its 2000 peak. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | HAL | @davevermilion | +0.35 | Highlights a bullish inverse head-and-shoulders bottom in HAL. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | GIS | @davevermilion | +0.25 | Reports GIS up 27% from its lows and 37% relative to semiconductors. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | · | @davevermilion | · | Warns that a market move toward liquidity would become concerning. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | TJX | @davevermilion | -0.75 | Says premium-valued TJX failed to deliver and was severely punished. | +0.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | FIX | @davevermilion | +0.40 | Places FIX in a favored engineering-and-construction basket while noting the view predates NVDA earnings. | -6.0% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | NVDA | @davevermilion | +0.00 | Places FIX in a favored engineering-and-construction basket while noting the view predates NVDA earnings. | -4.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | METC | @davevermilion | +0.15 | Discloses long positions in VG, SM, and LEU and a watch list of coal equities. | -4.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | BTU | @davevermilion | +0.15 | Discloses long positions in VG, SM, and LEU and a watch list of coal equities. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | AMR | @davevermilion | +0.15 | Discloses long positions in VG, SM, and LEU and a watch list of coal equities. | -0.5% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | SM | @davevermilion | +0.60 | Discloses long positions in VG, SM, and LEU and a watch list of coal equities. | -0.5% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | LEU | @davevermilion | +0.60 | Discloses long positions in VG, SM, and LEU and a watch list of coal equities. | -9.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | VG | @davevermilion | +0.60 | Discloses long positions in VG, SM, and LEU and a watch list of coal equities. | -2.1% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | · | @davevermilion | · | Argues the SaaS downturn ended and software companies can successfully incorporate AI. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | VEEV | @davevermilion | +0.35 | Reports an AI tool ranked VEEV as the safest SaaS stock. | -1.9% | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.