Author · brief 2026-06-22

@DavidCoxRJ DavidCoxRJ

Credentialed Canadian PM running disciplined, data-heavy market-breadth and relative-strength scorecards

Publishes systematic breadth, relative-strength and sector-r

trader score
-0.59
hit rate
40%
mean α
-0.12%
signals 14d
141

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY. · Analyst brief as of 2026-06-22.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 20 scored bets: 40% hit rate, -0.12% mean alpha, trader score -0.59. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +0.1% since posting (mean over 49 mentions with price data).

Breadth work bullish, adds SPCX and SoftBank dips

DavidCoxRJ is mostly running a chart-led, relative-strength book: bullish broad market trend and semis, long TSM as a disclosed large holding, and adding pullbacks in SFTBY and SPCX. His distinctive read is that the market is not just an AI bubble, with breadth, airlines, semis, and selected gold names all pushing against that narrative. Late-week risk appetite stayed tactical: he bought the SPCX pullback while flagging weakness in META, defense, and broad gold miners.

Themes5analyst read · 2026-06-22
Market breadth and index trend checks
mixedconsistent44 signals
⚠ 48% of theme signals are SPX — flag pump risk
Semiconductor and mega-cap relative strength
mixedconsistent27 signals
⚠ 78% of theme signals are SPX — flag pump risk
Tactical pullback buys and disclosed longs
bullNEW7 signals
⚠ 43% of theme signals are SPCX — flag pump risk
Laggards in consumer, media, and software
bearNEW7 signals
Gold miners and event-driven weakness
mixedNEW10 signals
Direction this week

Conviction sits in chart-confirmed risk appetite: broad stocks versus bonds, SPX trend, semis, TSM, and tactical adds in SFTBY and SPCX. The week also carried selective bearish reads on META, ADBE, NKE/LULU, Fox/Roku, defense, and most gold miners, while MAU stood out positively. Position activity was add-heavy rather than trim-heavy, with a notable disclosed large TSM long and no explicit exits in current-week directional signals.

Position disclosures1skin in the game
TSM TSM disclosed as second-largest holding at 7.2% and up to new highs. held
Best hypotheses5their highest-scoring claims in our index
The failed breakout and loss of key moving-average support signal a technical breakdown after earnings.
bearHIGH4 co-supporters
Equal-weight RSP is starting to outperform cap-weighted SPX in 2026 as tech weight becomes a drag.
bullHIGH3 co-supporters
RSP’s new all-time highs and cup-and-handle breakouts signal a constructive technical breakout for equal-weight equities
bullHIGH8 co-supporters
XLK remains the market leadership ETF, with tech carrying the S&P through strong relative performance and new highs.
bullHIGH10 co-supporters
The Q2 outlook and expectations gap made the Q1 beat insufficient, justifying the sharp post-earnings de-rating.
bearHIGH4 co-supporters
Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-07-02GLW@DavidCoxRJ-0.30Flags outside reversal candlesticks as concerning in hot spots.
2026-07-02LRCX@DavidCoxRJ-0.30Flags outside reversal candlesticks as concerning in hot spots.
2026-07-02MKSI@DavidCoxRJ-0.30Flags outside reversal candlesticks as concerning in hot spots.·
2026-07-02TER@DavidCoxRJ-0.30Flags outside reversal candlesticks as concerning in hot spots.
2026-07-02ONTO@DavidCoxRJ-0.30Flags outside reversal candlesticks as concerning in hot spots.
2026-07-02KLAC@DavidCoxRJ-0.30Flags outside reversal candlesticks as concerning in hot spots.
2026-07-02SPX@DavidCoxRJ+0.00Notes S&P 500 finished flat for the day.·
2026-07-02·@DavidCoxRJ·Reports 276 mid/small caps at 52-week highs and 59 at lows.·
2026-07-02·@DavidCoxRJ·Reports 79 large-cap stocks at 52-week highs and 2 at lows.·
2026-07-01·@DavidCoxRJ·Counts mid-cap and smaller stocks hitting 52-week highs versus lows.·
2026-07-01·@DavidCoxRJ·Counts large-cap stocks hitting 52-week highs versus lows.·
2026-07-01·@DavidCoxRJ·Commodities quarterly chart asks if resistance is at 2008 highs.·
2026-07-01XLK@DavidCoxRJ+0.45Says XLK technology stocks' strong uptrend continues on quarterly chart.-2.7%
2026-07-01TLT@DavidCoxRJ+0.00Quarterly TLT chart called nothing new, snooze fest.-0.0%
2026-07-01DXY@DavidCoxRJ+0.00Dollar index quarterly chart still looks like a snooze fest despite excitement.·

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.