Author

@davidsettle davidsettle

CMT technician fusing secular-cycle base rates with live breadth and intermarket divergence reads

Publishes index-level market outlooks and regime analysis gr

trader score
-1.89
hit rate
10%
mean α
-0.32%
signals 14d
97

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 20 scored bets: 10% hit rate, -0.32% mean alpha, trader score -1.89. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -0.3% since posting (mean over 61 mentions with price data).

Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-08-28·@davidsettle·Notes the McClellan Oscillator hovering near zero for almost two months, described as rare.·
2026-08-28SPHB@davidsettle-0.25Reports SPHB reaching three-month relative underperformance for the first time in months.·
2026-08-28RSP@davidsettle+0.05Argues RSP currently has little sensitivity to TNX based on charted correlations.
2026-08-28TNX@davidsettle+0.00Argues RSP currently has little sensitivity to TNX based on charted correlations.·
2026-08-28SPY@davidsettle+0.00Reports SPY Bollinger Bandwidth at 150-day lows and moving back inside the Keltner Channel.
2026-08-28NVDA@davidsettle+0.05Says an unidentified charted measure keeps tightening despite breakout-like moves in XLK and NVDA.
2026-08-28XLK@davidsettle+0.05Says an unidentified charted measure keeps tightening despite breakout-like moves in XLK and NVDA.
2026-08-28RSP@davidsettle-0.25Notes an 8.7% NVDA-led tech surge alongside falling equal weight and broad nontechnology weakness.
2026-08-28NVDA@davidsettle+0.45Notes an 8.7% NVDA-led tech surge alongside falling equal weight and broad nontechnology weakness.
2026-08-28XLK@davidsettle+0.35Notes an 8.7% NVDA-led tech surge alongside falling equal weight and broad nontechnology weakness.
2026-08-28SMH@davidsettle+0.35Notes an 8.7% NVDA-led tech surge alongside falling equal weight and broad nontechnology weakness.
2026-08-27RSP@davidsettle-0.25Highlights a narrow NVDA-led technology rally while equal weight and all nontechnology sectors fell.-0.3%
2026-08-27NVDA@davidsettle+0.45Highlights a narrow NVDA-led technology rally while equal weight and all nontechnology sectors fell.-4.6%
2026-08-27XLK@davidsettle+0.35Highlights a narrow NVDA-led technology rally while equal weight and all nontechnology sectors fell.-1.5%
2026-08-27SMH@davidsettle+0.35Highlights a narrow NVDA-led technology rally while equal weight and all nontechnology sectors fell.-3.5%

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.