Author

@davidsettle davidsettle

CMT technician fusing secular-cycle base rates with live breadth and intermarket divergence reads

Publishes index-level market outlooks and regime analysis gr

trader score
+0.00
hit rate
45%
mean α
+0.00%
signals 14d
71

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 20 scored bets: 45% hit rate, +0.00% mean alpha, trader score +0.00. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -0.9% since posting (mean over 54 mentions with price data).

Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-07-01SOX@davidsettle+0.00Says a 30% SOX drop to 10K would still not cross 200-day SMA and be up 40.8% YTD.·
2026-06-30NVDA@davidsettle+0.20Market outlook recap: semis led, Dow record, breadth lagged, rising yields hit defensives.-2.6%
2026-06-30XLRE@davidsettle-0.20Market outlook recap: semis led, Dow record, breadth lagged, rising yields hit defensives.+1.5%
2026-06-30TLT@davidsettle-0.20Market outlook recap: semis led, Dow record, breadth lagged, rising yields hit defensives.-1.1%
2026-06-30SPY@davidsettle+0.10Market outlook recap: semis led, Dow record, breadth lagged, rising yields hit defensives.-0.3%
2026-06-30SMH@davidsettle+0.35Market outlook recap: semis led, Dow record, breadth lagged, rising yields hit defensives.-9.7%
2026-06-30XLU@davidsettle-0.20Market outlook recap: semis led, Dow record, breadth lagged, rising yields hit defensives.+0.9%
2026-06-30SPX@davidsettle+0.10Notes SPX bounces off major bear market lows and 200-week SMA context.·
2026-06-29IWM@davidsettle+0.10Market outlook notes Nasdaq sentiment, tech/semis repair, VIX fell, SKEW rose and breadth needs proof.-0.5%
2026-06-29XLK@davidsettle+0.20Market outlook notes Nasdaq sentiment, tech/semis repair, VIX fell, SKEW rose and breadth needs proof.-2.6%
2026-06-29QQQ@davidsettle+0.20Market outlook notes Nasdaq sentiment, tech/semis repair, VIX fell, SKEW rose and breadth needs proof.-1.6%
2026-06-29SPX@davidsettle+0.15Market outlook notes Nasdaq sentiment, tech/semis repair, VIX fell, SKEW rose and breadth needs proof.·
2026-06-29SMH@davidsettle+0.20Market outlook notes Nasdaq sentiment, tech/semis repair, VIX fell, SKEW rose and breadth needs proof.-6.3%
2026-06-29DIA@davidsettle+0.10Market outlook notes Nasdaq sentiment, tech/semis repair, VIX fell, SKEW rose and breadth needs proof.+1.2%
2026-06-27NVDA@davidsettle+0.30Compares NVDA returns from lows to SPX history and frames a 20% NVDA decline as minor.+1.2%

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.