Author

@DeepValuePlay DeepValuePlay

Concentrated deep-value micro-cap picker with explicit targets and candid risk disclosure

Posts mostly reply-thread theses on a handful of small/micro

trader score
-2.26
hit rate
40%
mean α
-1.72%
signals 14d
40

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 20 scored bets: 40% hit rate, -1.72% mean alpha, trader score -2.26. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +7.1% since posting (mean over 33 mentions with price data).

Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-10-15LQDA@DeepValuePlay+0.35Believes ILD research remains a viable option for Liquidia.+22.6%
2026-10-15LQDA@DeepValuePlay+0.30Views a regulatory-path strategy as an option that could pressure a competitor.+22.6%
2026-10-15LQDA@DeepValuePlay+0.60Views additional studies and potential royalty flexibility as worthwhile for Liquidia.+22.6%
2026-10-15LQDA@DeepValuePlay+0.60Argues Liquidia's regulatory strategy could avoid a 30-month stay and preserve judicial flexibility.+22.6%
2026-10-14LQDA@DeepValuePlay+0.60States an author fair-value estimate of $50 versus a $45 share price.+25.7%
2026-10-14LQDA@DeepValuePlay+0.45Builds a bullish annualized revenue and EBITDA valuation scenario for Liquidia.+25.7%
2026-10-13LQDA@DeepValuePlay+0.35Argues LQDA is unlikely to seek Yutrepia royalties and prefers off-label economics.+59.1%
2026-10-13LQDA@DeepValuePlay+0.75Rejects dilution concerns and praises LQDA management's capital allocation.+59.1%
2026-10-13LQDA@DeepValuePlay+0.25Expects an 8-K agreement before a court stipulation after LQDA's initial payment.+59.1%
2026-10-13·@DeepValuePlay·Discloses being very long an unidentified security while acknowledging legal headline risk.·
2026-10-13LQDA@DeepValuePlay-0.15Warns LQDA's agreement does not clear future drug L606 and terms remain uncertain.+59.1%
2026-10-13LQDA@DeepValuePlay+0.90Expects shares near $70, eventually above $200, as legal overhang clears and revenue grows.+59.1%
2026-10-13LQDA@DeepValuePlay+0.85Calls the agreement a best-case outcome and expects continued off-label ILD use.+59.1%
2026-10-10·@DeepValuePlay·Calls AI a world-changing technology and points to physical AI as its next major phase.·
2026-10-10·@DeepValuePlay·Argues AI is a much larger paradigm shift than dot-com and is supported by substantial recurring revenue.·

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.