@Don7Spy Don7Spy
Valuation-driven AI/semis/space bubble bear who trades it with disciplined, disclosed options
Posts ticker-specific bear theses on overvalued AI, semicond
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY. · Analyst brief as of 2026-06-22.
Across their last 20 scored bets: 30% hit rate, -0.35% mean alpha, trader score -0.42. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -0.1% since posting (mean over 101 mentions with price data).
Don7Spy is focused on bearish index/options trading, repeated SPCX valuation skepticism, and short-term semiconductor/memory momentum. The distinctive read is two-sided on SPCX: he mocks the revenue and market-cap hype but still wants to own or add only at much lower prices. Late in the window, attention shifts from SPCX/TSLA valuation criticism toward booked SPY put-spread wins and memory-stock momentum, with STX singled out negatively.
The week starts with repeated SPCX valuation skepticism alongside a conditional lower-price long plan, then shifts into bearish SPY options and futures recaps that were booked profitably. Semiconductor strength is acknowledged through SMH/SOXX highs and memory-name momentum, while STX is singled out as a short. Concentration risk sits mainly in SPCX, which accounts for a large share of the author's thematic signals despite mixed bull and bear framing.
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-02 | · | @Don7Spy | · | Author calls three semi-equipment companies frothy, implying bearish sector view. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | · | @Don7Spy | · | Author wished for 0DTE puts amid market doom, but no ticker is specified. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | NQ | @Don7Spy | -0.50 | Recaps past short stance and missed larger downside move. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | AMAT | @Don7Spy | -0.35 | Author jokes about causing a large downside move across tech and semi names. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | QQQ | @Don7Spy | -0.35 | Author jokes about causing a large downside move across tech and semi names. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | SMH | @Don7Spy | -0.35 | Author jokes about causing a large downside move across tech and semi names. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | KLAC | @Don7Spy | -0.35 | Author jokes about causing a large downside move across tech and semi names. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | NQ | @Don7Spy | -0.35 | Author jokes about causing a large downside move across tech and semi names. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | NQ | @Don7Spy | -0.60 | Recaps another trader's NQ short from prior levels and 1000+ point gain. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | TSLA | @Don7Spy | -0.45 | Author describes TSLA selloff in derogatory terms. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | QQQ | @Don7Spy | +0.45 | Reports QQQ call spreads trading higher and up per contract. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | PANW | @Don7Spy | +0.45 | Author says PANW is ranked top of their list. | -1.1% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | WMT | @Don7Spy | -0.65 | Recaps profitable WMT put debit spread and says trim/cut/manage. | +2.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | MSFT | @Don7Spy | -0.20 | Argues hyperscalers should cut capex 20-25%, negative for semis and AI capex names. | +1.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | MSFT | @Don7Spy | -0.15 | Says MSFT needs to reduce capex by 25%. | +1.6% | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.