Author
@DougKass DougKass
grade Ax.com/DougKass ↗
Veteran contrarian short-seller dismantling AI/bull-market consensus with data and balance sheets
Active long/short PM posting real-time, tickered short and l
trader score
-2.82
hit rate
20%
mean α
-1.48%
signals 14d
43
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Across their last 20 scored bets: 20% hit rate, -1.48% mean alpha, trader score -2.82. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +2.7% since posting (mean over 23 mentions with price data).
Recent signals15receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-14 | IWM | @DougKass | -0.65 | Rejects a bullish IWM recommendation, citing a steep drawdown and lack of small-cap EPS growth. | +1.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | · | @DougKass | · | Reports Lone Pine's flagship fund fell from a 44% gain to 0.6% after AI bets reversed. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | · | @DougKass | · | Suggests the bond rally may reflect a flight to safety rather than support for equities. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | NVDA | @DougKass | -0.20 | Attributes the selloff to pod liquidations and passive outflows, while expecting no rapid V-shaped recovery. | -4.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | CRWV | @DougKass | -0.25 | Attributes the selloff to pod liquidations and passive outflows, while expecting no rapid V-shaped recovery. | -17.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | · | @DougKass | · | Criticizes the use of historical charts to support a persistently bullish narrative. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | · | @DougKass | · | Rejects a bullish historical analogy because it relies on an extremely small sample. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | MSOS | @DougKass | +0.10 | Frames an October 14 court order as routine procedural maintenance rather than an adverse merits signal. | -4.2% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | · | @DougKass | · | Discloses a portfolio of 22 shorts, including long-held and bankrupt positions, with four covered today. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | MSOS | @DougKass | +0.10 | Describes the court development as a brief one-week procedural setback rather than a merits ruling. | -4.2% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | · | @DougKass | · | Compares current action to early 2000, when defensive value stocks rose as technology shares declined. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | · | @DougKass | · | Expects a sustained period of selling and notes multiple pods are involved. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | APO | @DougKass | -0.40 | Lists large drawdowns from 52-week highs and notes CRWV is also $50 below the author's cost basis. | -0.5% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | BX | @DougKass | -0.40 | Lists large drawdowns from 52-week highs and notes CRWV is also $50 below the author's cost basis. | +11.1% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | KKR | @DougKass | -0.40 | Lists large drawdowns from 52-week highs and notes CRWV is also $50 below the author's cost basis. | +6.7% | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.