Author · brief 2026-06-22

@eldaminato eldaminato

Bilingual quality-growth investor blending megacap AI/tech with Argentine equity deep-dives

Posts long, valuation-driven bull theses on quality compound

trader score
-0.92
hit rate
60%
mean α
-0.78%
signals 14d
220

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY. · Analyst brief as of 2026-06-22.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 20 scored bets: 60% hit rate, -0.78% mean alpha, trader score -0.92. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +0.6% since posting (mean over 147 mentions with price data).

Long MELI and Tesla, wary of SpaceX valuation excess

Author is concentrated in long-term compounder ideas, especially MELI and TSLA, with a new explicit buy call on ACN after weakness. Distinctive read is LatAm fintech/e-commerce monetization and credit penetration, paired with skepticism that SPCX price action equals business progress. No clear position flip, but the window adds fresh ACN buying while SPCX commentary turns more valuation- and financing-sensitive.

Themes5analyst read · 2026-06-22
LatAm e-commerce fintech and credit runway
bullconsistent33 signals
⚠ 64% of theme signals are MELI — flag pump risk
SpaceX proxy valuation and market-structure risk
mixedintensifying28 signals
⚠ 61% of theme signals are SPCX — flag pump risk
Tesla autonomy ownership and Argentina optionality
bullintensifying14 signals
⚠ 79% of theme signals are TSLA — flag pump risk
Mega-cap cash-flow and buyback quality
mixedconsistent18 signals
⚠ 56% of theme signals are NVDA — flag pump risk
Argentina macro normalization and energy exposure
mixedintensifying14 signals
Direction this week

Conviction is concentrated in MELI, TSLA, and a fresh ACN buy call, with VIST also disclosed as a held long. SPCX is the main two-sided area: he highlights momentum and possible index-buying support but repeatedly warns about FOMO, valuation, expensive puts, and refinancing risk. No clean flip is visible in the supplied signals; the clearest new action is adding ACN after the selloff.

Position disclosures5skin in the game
TSLA Discloses long-term TSLA ownership and bullish long-term view after past gains. held
MELI Confirms he remains long MELI and thinks the market strongly underestimates its potential. held
VIST Says he likes VIST, remains long, and expects oil to support the stock over 12 months. held
SPCX Discusses Michael Burry considering a bearish SPCX valuation bet but having no exposure due to expensive puts. unclear
NVDA References Michael Burry put exposure on NVDA rather than disclosing the author’s own position. unclear
Best hypotheses5their highest-scoring claims in our index
The $1B repurchase signals management confidence, cheap shares, and a possible trading floor after the drawdown.
bullHIGH12 co-supporters
VSCO's Q1 beat and raised FY26 guidance validate a turnaround and justify a material earnings-driven re-rating.
bullHIGH11 co-supporters
SPCE rally reflects mistaken SpaceX or SPCX proxy buying rather than direct economic exposure, making the move fundament
bearHIGH16 co-supporters
Berkshire's $10B Alphabet placement gives it AI infrastructure exposure and validates the capital intensity of the AI bu
bullHIGH8 co-supporters
VSXY's Q1 beat and raised FY26 guidance validate a materially stronger earnings trajectory and justify a re-rating.
bullHIGH9 co-supporters
Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-07-03MU@eldaminato-0.50Says Burry confirmed on Substack he opened a Micron short after earlier fake-news debate.
2026-07-03SOXX@eldaminato-0.45Reports Michael Burry confirmed new MU short, remains short SOXX, and has new NVDA short plus puts.
2026-07-03NVDA@eldaminato-0.35Reports Michael Burry confirmed new MU short, remains short SOXX, and has new NVDA short plus puts.
2026-07-03MU@eldaminato-0.55Reports Michael Burry confirmed new MU short, remains short SOXX, and has new NVDA short plus puts.
2026-07-02TSLA@eldaminato+0.75Bullish Tesla thesis citing insider buy level, strong deliveries, likely Q2 beat and future products.
2026-07-02TSLA@eldaminato+0.35Lists TSLA total returns over many periods and argues long holders rarely lost money except ATH buyers.
2026-07-02SOXX@eldaminato-0.50Reports second consecutive semiconductor selloff, SOXX down nearly 7%, MU down 7% and 24% from ATH.
2026-07-02MU@eldaminato-0.45Reports second consecutive semiconductor selloff, SOXX down nearly 7%, MU down 7% and 24% from ATH.
2026-07-02PBR@eldaminato-0.35Lists oil stocks correcting roughly 23-27% from 52-week highs.
2026-07-02GPRK@eldaminato-0.35Lists oil stocks correcting roughly 23-27% from 52-week highs.·
2026-07-02XOM@eldaminato-0.35Lists oil stocks correcting roughly 23-27% from 52-week highs.
2026-07-02CVX@eldaminato-0.35Lists oil stocks correcting roughly 23-27% from 52-week highs.
2026-07-02YPF@eldaminato-0.35Lists oil stocks correcting roughly 23-27% from 52-week highs.
2026-07-02VIST@eldaminato-0.35Lists oil stocks correcting roughly 23-27% from 52-week highs.
2026-07-02VIST@eldaminato+0.75Discloses continued VIST position and bullish valuation/buyback thesis after 25% correction.

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.