Author

@emollick

trader score
+0.04
hit rate
57%
mean α
+0.01%
signals 14d
59

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 14 scored bets: 57% hit rate, +0.01% mean alpha, trader score +0.04. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +0.2% since posting (mean over 1 mentions with price data).

Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-08-28·@emollick·Assesses GLM-5.3 positively while warning that open-weight models require model cards and red teaming.·
2026-08-28·@emollick·Says generative video, image and music models are now practical creative tools for broader audiences.·
2026-08-27·@emollick·Reports that H3 Max can generate reasonably high-quality AI video faster than its playback time.·
2026-08-27·@emollick·Reports AI-generated fraudulent preprints using academics' names and anticipates improving paper factories.·
2026-08-27·@emollick·Highlights research finding that task automation ability does not necessarily improve human augmentation.·
2026-08-27·@emollick·Reports new research finding that small context differences make agentic-shopping choices unpredictable.·
2026-08-27·@emollick·Warns against anthropomorphizing agents based on a time-pressured chain-of-thought study.·
2026-08-26·@emollick·Challenges the assumption that AI productivity gains must take decades by citing rapid assembly-line deployment.·
2026-08-26·@emollick·Warns organizations to strengthen cybersecurity before highly capable open-weight models become available.·
2026-08-26·@emollick·Frames Moltbook as an early indicator of how autonomous agents communicate in real environments.·
2026-08-26·@emollick·Predicts multi-agent scale will worsen explainability and require imperfect AI-based oversight.·
2026-08-26·@emollick·Says AI capability, reliability and student adoption have advanced materially within six months.·
2026-08-24·@emollick·Claims a referenced paper will materially change social science.·
2026-08-24·@emollick·Argues state data-center bans barely affect AI progress and are not substitutes for broader policy.·
2026-08-24·@emollick·Argues AI-impact expectations have swung too far from immediate transformation toward excessive delay.·

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.