trader score
+0.68
hit rate
60%
mean α
+0.93%
signals 14d
14
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Across their last 5 scored bets: 60% hit rate, +0.93% mean alpha, trader score +0.68.
Recent signals14receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-01 | · | @EMostaque | · | Says optimized providers can reach up to 470 tokens per second, 5-10x faster than normal. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | · | @EMostaque | · | Questions how potential Reflection AI model releases would fare against Nemotron and open stacks. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | · | @EMostaque | · | Claims GLM 5.2 can reach Fable-level performance with the right harness. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-29 | · | @EMostaque | · | Argues China's AI strategy is reducing intelligence cost to energy, not giant clusters. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-29 | · | @EMostaque | · | Frames AI as taking off with coming changes and big decisions. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-29 | · | @EMostaque | · | Claims OpenRouter's most popular model is a 1.6T MoE at Gemini/Opus 4.6 level trained on ASICs. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-29 | · | @EMostaque | · | Positive reply about GLM 5.2 capability, but lacks context. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-29 | · | @EMostaque | · | Announces more Zenith and open-source II Agent releases pushing reasoning boundaries. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-29 | · | @EMostaque | · | Discusses harness performance and FrontierSWE as a hard practical benchmark. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-29 | · | @EMostaque | · | Shares Zenith harness update taking open models above Fable on long-running tasks. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-25 | · | @EMostaque | · | Frames frontier AI dynamics around distillation and expert-generated training samples. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-23 | · | @EMostaque | · | Says Chinese labs are reaching near-perfect video generation quality around predicted timing. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-22 | · | @EMostaque | · | Suggests Reflection AI's compute could produce a strong first model. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-20 | · | @EMostaque | · | Predicts open-source fable-level model will run on base MacBook mini or Air. | · | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.