trader score
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hit rate
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mean α
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signals 14d
12
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Not yet in the scored-bets universe (fewer than 20 scoreable calls). Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +11.7% since posting (mean over 1 mentions with price data).
Recent signals12receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | · | @EMostaque | · | States the original Stable Diffusion model's FID benchmark score was 12.63. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | · | @EMostaque | · | Says many video-game companies are in serious trouble while teasing future work. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-12 | · | @EMostaque | · | Argues models will move from code-mediated execution toward silicon and become far faster. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-12 | · | @EMostaque | · | Claims a major recent step-change in game-AI capability with large impact in the coming year. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-12 | · | @EMostaque | · | Claims competitors have not matched DeepSeek's KV-cache price-performance and were roughly 10 times costlier. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-11 | · | @EMostaque | · | Says River AI beat DeepSeek rates and could compete with a full RL and inference stack. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-08 | · | @EMostaque | · | Presents an economic framework for universal income, assets and services modeled on TSMC's formation. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-08 | · | @EMostaque | · | Describes a developing political-economy framework based on a softmax reference point and doxic view. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-06 | · | @EMostaque | · | Says some reviewed results appear substantive rather than low-quality AI output. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-06 | · | @EMostaque | · | Plans to resume training open models next year as compute requirements become cheaper. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-04 | · | @EMostaque | · | Cites an 80% labor share of US taxes to argue tax-funded UBI is unworkable. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-03 | META | @EMostaque | -0.10 | Uses Meta's reported $18B fine to argue penalties would not deter AI-safety coordination. | -11.7% | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.