Author
@EpsilonTheory EpsilonTheory
grade Ax.com/EpsilonTheory ↗
Narrative-machine macro essayist dissecting the meta-game beneath market consensus
Publishes original macro, geopolitical, and epistemic framew
trader score
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hit rate
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mean α
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signals 14d
8
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Not yet in the scored-bets universe (fewer than 20 scoreable calls).
Recent signals8receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | · | @EpsilonTheory | · | Proposes using LLM-derived semantic signatures to measure and trace narratives and ideas. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-21 | · | @EpsilonTheory | · | Author signals a higher-for-longer rate regime, though the linked context is unavailable. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-20 | · | @EpsilonTheory | · | The author sarcastically characterizes the macro environment as stagflationary. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-19 | · | @EpsilonTheory | · | Mockingly questions whether an unspecified market move can survive the next day. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-19 | · | @EpsilonTheory | · | Frames AI agents as institutional tools that rewrite history, without a specific investment implication. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-19 | · | @EpsilonTheory | · | Discloses the model portfolio became heavily long gold after interpreting policy as debt monetization. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-17 | · | @EpsilonTheory | · | The U.S. 30-year Treasury yield reached a new high that day. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-16 | · | @EpsilonTheory | · | Japan's 10-year bond yield reached a new five-year chart high | · | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.