Author

@EpsilonTheory EpsilonTheory

Narrative-machine macro essayist dissecting the meta-game beneath market consensus

Publishes original macro, geopolitical, and epistemic framew

trader score
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hit rate
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mean α
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signals 14d
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Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Not yet in the scored-bets universe (fewer than 20 scoreable calls).

Recent signals2receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-06-28·@EpsilonTheory·Reply references Grantham's bearish GMO positions.·
2026-06-23·@EpsilonTheory·Describes market as unstable with sold rallies, low volume and hair-trigger buying·

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.