Author
@EpsilonTheory EpsilonTheory
grade Ax.com/EpsilonTheory ↗
Narrative-machine macro essayist dissecting the meta-game beneath market consensus
Publishes original macro, geopolitical, and epistemic framew
trader score
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hit rate
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mean α
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signals 14d
8
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Not yet in the scored-bets universe (fewer than 20 scoreable calls).
Recent signals8receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | · | @EpsilonTheory | · | The author says the Firmus IPO debacle has received surprisingly little attention in U.S. financial media. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | · | @EpsilonTheory | · | The author argues the unnamed instruments lack legitimate market functions and facilitate crime and speculation. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | · | @EpsilonTheory | · | The author criticizes crypto-linked White House interests and connects them to the Clarity Act's failure. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | · | @EpsilonTheory | · | Supports maximum buildout of natural gas, nuclear, wind and solar generation, with partial support for coal. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | · | @EpsilonTheory | · | Announces an update to a World War AI thesis using narrative-virality and regime data across AI and data centers. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-10 | · | @EpsilonTheory | · | Expresses alarm that US bombing occurred before the midterm elections. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-07 | · | @EpsilonTheory | · | Frames leveraged lenders borrowing short and lending long as structurally vulnerable. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-07 | · | @EpsilonTheory | · | Reports new cycle highs in 10-year and 30-year yields. | · | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.