Author

@espabilaeinv espabilaeinv

Spanish quality-growth investor making reasoned fundamental cases for mega-cap AI compounders

Publishes fundamental, valuation-driven long theses on a con

trader score
-1.34
hit rate
25%
mean α
-0.55%
signals 14d
21

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 20 scored bets: 25% hit rate, -0.55% mean alpha, trader score -1.34. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +2.6% since posting (mean over 7 mentions with price data).

Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-07-02META@espabilaeinv+0.15Spanish reply says Zuck is full of surprises, a mildly positive Meta/Zuckerberg remark.
2026-07-02META@espabilaeinv+0.10Discusses Meta potentially selling excess compute and two interpretations of the strategy.
2026-07-01MU@espabilaeinv+0.05Long valuation exercise for MU shows wide 2030 scenarios and says qualitative work is needed.-5.5%
2026-06-30·@espabilaeinv·Bullish general view that AI capex investment is necessary.·
2026-06-30META@espabilaeinv+0.55Bullish on Meta Glasses as AI communication hardware that could reduce external hardware dependence.+3.5%
2026-06-28META@espabilaeinv+0.20Threads has 500 million monthly active users.+5.9%
2026-06-27NVDA@espabilaeinv+0.70Valuation exercise projects NVDA above current price even in worst 2030 scenario.+1.2%
2026-06-25RMS@espabilaeinv+0.20Says it is hard to lose money with META over coming years and references RMS valuation analysis.·
2026-06-25META@espabilaeinv+0.40Says it is hard to lose money with META over coming years and references RMS valuation analysis.+7.4%
2026-06-24·@espabilaeinv·Spanish qualitative conclusion says Hermes is high quality with slight profitability deterioration to monitor.·
2026-06-24·@espabilaeinv·Mentions estimating Hermes target price from analyst estimates but gives no explicit ticker value.·
2026-06-24·@espabilaeinv·Quantitative profitability metrics for Hermes include ROIC, ROE, and ROA levels.·
2026-06-24·@espabilaeinv·Discusses Hermes sales, per-share sales, EPS growth, and share count stability.·
2026-06-24·@espabilaeinv·Hermes margin expansion over a decade is framed as a sign of quality.·
2026-06-24·@espabilaeinv·Analyzes Hermes balance sheet with net debt/EBITDA, current ratio, and over 12B cash.·

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.