Author

@espabilaeinv espabilaeinv

Spanish quality-growth investor making reasoned fundamental cases for mega-cap AI compounders

Publishes fundamental, valuation-driven long theses on a con

trader score
+0.02
hit rate
40%
mean α
+0.01%
signals 14d
13

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 20 scored bets: 40% hit rate, +0.01% mean alpha, trader score +0.02. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +3.1% since posting (mean over 7 mentions with price data).

Recent signals13receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-08-27NVDA@espabilaeinv+0.72Says even the very optimistic NVDA scenario may prove too conservative.-4.6%
2026-08-26NVDA@espabilaeinv+0.50Calls the NVDA-related material extraordinary, with the precise basis contained in unseen media.+3.8%
2026-08-26META@espabilaeinv+0.25Argues media coverage is hostile to Meta and the settlement could be below $16.7B.+0.3%
2026-08-26·@espabilaeinv·Says an unnamed company's valuation is already very attractive.·
2026-08-26·@espabilaeinv·Predicts an unnamed company will rise when a $2B–$20B fine resolves uncertainty.·
2026-08-23·@espabilaeinv·States an author's 2027 price target of $762, but the company is absent from this standalone tweet.·
2026-08-23META@espabilaeinv+0.25Calculates Meta equity value after $22B net debt and divides by 2.567B shares.+5.1%
2026-08-23·@espabilaeinv·Applies a 17x EV/EBIT multiple to projected 2027 EBIT in a valuation calculation.·
2026-08-23·@espabilaeinv·Uses 2027 analyst revenue and a 38.1% operating margin to estimate EBIT.·
2026-08-23META@espabilaeinv+0.45Introduces an eight-step valuation examining whether META is a bargain with appreciation potential.+5.1%
2026-08-19META@espabilaeinv+0.35Models META at $729 in 2027 even after a hypothetical $20B fine, while stressing uncertainty.+5.9%
2026-08-19META@espabilaeinv+0.25Dismisses the headline alleging a $1.4 trillion Meta fine as nonsense.+5.9%
2026-08-18·@espabilaeinv·Argues market forecasts are unknowable and remaining invested is generally the smartest course.·

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.