@evanmedeiros evanmedeiros
Rules-based swing trader narrating market regime and AI-momentum rotation in real time
Runs a quant/technical swing-trading process, publishing a r
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY. · Analyst brief as of 2026-06-22.
Across their last 20 scored bets: 60% hit rate, +0.45% mean alpha, trader score +0.44. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -5.4% since posting (mean over 44 mentions with price data).
Evan Medeiros is broadly constructive on the market model, with semiconductors and biotech carrying the leadership while Mag 7 weakness remains a caveat. His most actionable disclosure is LABU returning to his Quant Rockets portfolio as biotech breaks out, while he warns against chasing WDC after a sharp move. Late-week positioning tilts toward biotech/SMH/market-beta exposure rather than energy, which he still likes longer term but says timing is not ready.
No explicit flip or fade is disclosed, but the late-week actionable change is LABU returning to the Quant Rockets portfolio as biotech breaks out. Conviction is concentrated in a bullish market model, semiconductor strength, and biotech rotation, with Mag 7 weakness and WDC chase-risk as the main cautions. Energy remains a longer-term preference, but he says timing is not there yet.
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-01 | WMT | @evanmedeiros | +0.05 | Walmart is in a 20% drawdown; prior similar drawdowns saw buyers step up. | +2.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | FIGR | @evanmedeiros | -0.10 | Author says they may have written covered calls too early on FIGR. | +3.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | · | @evanmedeiros | · | Broad market comment that quarter-end window dressing is over and real buying appetite will show. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | LABU | @evanmedeiros | +0.15 | Swing model signals remain clustered around AI infrastructure with new rotation tomorrow. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | MKSI | @evanmedeiros | +0.35 | Swing model signals remain clustered around AI infrastructure with new rotation tomorrow. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | SOXL | @evanmedeiros | +0.35 | Swing model signals remain clustered around AI infrastructure with new rotation tomorrow. | -32.0% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | LLY | @evanmedeiros | +0.55 | LLY bigger picture looks great after breakout, ATH push and 40%+ growth. | +1.2% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | CRWD | @evanmedeiros | +0.50 | CRWD follow-through, trend and continuation pattern toward ATH. | -74.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-29 | · | @evanmedeiros | · | Trade Risk members can use new AI MCP Connector. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-29 | GLW | @evanmedeiros | +0.35 | Reports GLW led momentum portfolio gainers at +15% after prior AI-selected pick. | -23.0% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-29 | SNOW | @evanmedeiros | +0.55 | SNOW clean drive higher out of pullback; continuation pattern looking good for bulls. | +3.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-28 | XLV | @evanmedeiros | +0.10 | Market Navigator remains bullish after 55 days, but rotation is more complicated. | +2.1% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-28 | XBI | @evanmedeiros | +0.10 | Market Navigator remains bullish after 55 days, but rotation is more complicated. | +3.3% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-28 | QQQ | @evanmedeiros | +0.35 | Market Navigator remains bullish after 55 days, but rotation is more complicated. | +0.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-28 | SPY | @evanmedeiros | +0.35 | Market Navigator remains bullish after 55 days, but rotation is more complicated. | +2.2% | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.