Author

@ExpMagellan ExpMagellan

Japanese long-term growth investor riding the AI megatrend across US and Nikkei names

Posts long-form, ticker'd theses and position disclosures fr

trader score
+1.91
hit rate
70%
mean α
+1.22%
signals 14d
67

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 20 scored bets: 70% hit rate, +1.22% mean alpha, trader score +1.91. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -4.7% since posting (mean over 47 mentions with price data).

Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-10-16TSLA@ExpMagellan+0.65The author praises Tesla's Roadster demonstration and Musk's engineering ambition.+4.9%
2026-10-16V@ExpMagellan+0.70Visa is presented as a long-term beneficiary of stablecoins, agentic payments and core payment growth.+1.3%
2026-10-15NKE@ExpMagellan+0.35A bullish divergence setup is described with confirmation and stop conditions for NKE.+0.4%
2026-10-15·@ExpMagellan·The author references delayed high-yield and investment-grade credit-spread data.·
2026-10-15JMIA@ExpMagellan+0.80Add to the existing JMIA position in premarket trading. — The author explicitly states they added JMIA shares in premarket trading.·
2026-10-15VIX@ExpMagellan-0.20AI infrastructure credit risk could spread through the supply chain despite firm current demand.·
2026-10-15TSM@ExpMagellan+0.35AI infrastructure credit risk could spread through the supply chain despite firm current demand.-0.9%
2026-10-15ASML@ExpMagellan+0.35AI infrastructure credit risk could spread through the supply chain despite firm current demand.-5.2%
2026-10-15CRWV@ExpMagellan-0.75AI infrastructure credit risk could spread through the supply chain despite firm current demand.-22.2%
2026-10-15TSM@ExpMagellan+0.85The author expects TSMC to grow as long as global semiconductor demand persists.-0.9%
2026-10-14RKLB@ExpMagellan-0.50Reports a further delay to Neutron's first launch and expects continued difficulty.-11.1%
2026-10-14·@ExpMagellan·Hot CPI is framed as pressuring technology and debt-heavy neoclouds while defensives outperform.·
2026-10-14TSM@ExpMagellan+0.70Long-term bullish semiconductor thesis cites ASML dominance and supply shortages through 2028.-2.7%
2026-10-14ASML@ExpMagellan+0.80Long-term bullish semiconductor thesis cites ASML dominance and supply shortages through 2028.-4.7%
2026-10-14AAPL@ExpMagellan+0.80Author says a nine-year AAPL holding rose about ninefold and presents long-term ownership as the lesson.+1.4%

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.