@FABYMETAL4 FABYMETAL4
AI memory and supply-chain bull who reasons mechanistically down the compute stack
Posts long-form, heavily-tickered fundamental and thematic t
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY. · Analyst brief as of 2026-06-22.
Across their last 20 scored bets: 45% hit rate, +0.17% mean alpha, trader score +0.19. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -10.9% since posting (mean over 83 mentions with price data).
FABYMETAL4 is concentrated in AI infrastructure, led by NBIS ownership, NVDA demand/valuation work, memory pricing through MU/SNDK, and optical supply-chain beneficiaries. Their distinctive read is that AI value is moving from frontier models toward infrastructure, power, memory, and optical bottlenecks, while Google looks weaker due to AI talent departures. Late-window emphasis shifted toward optical capacity and memory pricing, with the only explicit trade being continued NBIS buying and hold-only status since Dec 2024.
Conviction is concentrated in AI infrastructure, memory pricing, and optical bottlenecks, with NBIS the only explicit add and hold-only disclosure. The author is bullish on NVDA, NBIS, MU/SNDK, and selected optical names, while bearish on GOOGL due to AI talent losses. Late-window activity broadened into optical capacity and memory export data, while AEHR and SPCX carry pump-risk or headline-risk flags because evidence is thinner and valuation risk is noted.
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-03 | NVDA | @FABYMETAL4 | -0.10 | Long-form thesis on Anthropic custom AI chip work benefiting Samsung 2nm foundry. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-03 | 005930.KS | @FABYMETAL4 | +0.65 | Long-form thesis on Anthropic custom AI chip work benefiting Samsung 2nm foundry. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-03 | TSLA | @FABYMETAL4 | +0.15 | Long-form thesis on Anthropic custom AI chip work benefiting Samsung 2nm foundry. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | · | @FABYMETAL4 | · | Anthropic says Fable 5 leaves subscription after July 7 but may return when resources allow. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | NVDA | @FABYMETAL4 | +0.55 | Argues NVIDIA with Palantir can capture sovereign/on-prem AI demand inaccessible to cloud APIs. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | PLTR | @FABYMETAL4 | +0.20 | Argues NVIDIA with Palantir can capture sovereign/on-prem AI demand inaccessible to cloud APIs. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | 005930.KS | @FABYMETAL4 | +0.55 | Argues Samsung Foundry can allocate capacity and raise prices as TSMC is full. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | NVDA | @FABYMETAL4 | +0.45 | NVIDIA expands into credit support and revenue sharing with AI cloud providers. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | IREN | @FABYMETAL4 | +0.25 | NVIDIA expands into credit support and revenue sharing with AI cloud providers. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | SHAZ | @FABYMETAL4 | +0.35 | NVIDIA expands into credit support and revenue sharing with AI cloud providers. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | NVDA | @FABYMETAL4 | +0.25 | Revolut builds financial transaction foundation model on Nebius NVIDIA full-stack platform. | -1.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | NBIS | @FABYMETAL4 | +0.35 | Revolut builds financial transaction foundation model on Nebius NVIDIA full-stack platform. | -5.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | NVDA | @FABYMETAL4 | +0.45 | NVIDIA announces revenue-share/credit support model for emerging AI clouds including Sharon AI and Firmus. | -1.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | SHAZ | @FABYMETAL4 | +0.35 | NVIDIA announces revenue-share/credit support model for emerging AI clouds including Sharon AI and Firmus. | -14.2% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | 6268.T | @FABYMETAL4 | +0.25 | Humanoid robot reducer thesis weighs Japanese incumbents versus Chinese localization risk. | · | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.