Author

@Franktradinglog Franktradinglog

Pseudonymous AI/semis trader fusing deep fundamentals with positioning and gamma plumbing

Posts original multi-factor theses and live two-sided trade

trader score
+0.12
hit rate
50%
mean α
+0.06%
signals 14d
26

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 20 scored bets: 50% hit rate, +0.06% mean alpha, trader score +0.12. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +0.1% since posting (mean over 17 mentions with price data).

Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-08-28TLT@Franktradinglog+0.70Celebrates a large gain and the defeat of long-bond shorts, implying bullish bond performance.
2026-08-25NVDA@Franktradinglog+0.45Argues controlled Treasury yields and volatility structurally benefit debt-funded AI capex and mega-cap technology.+2.1%
2026-08-25AVGO@Franktradinglog+0.45Argues controlled Treasury yields and volatility structurally benefit debt-funded AI capex and mega-cap technology.+3.4%
2026-08-24IWM@Franktradinglog-0.70Says IWM has already died, expressing strong bearishness.-0.7%
2026-08-24SPY@Franktradinglog-0.65Keep the bearish trade and rotate part of IWM exposure into SPY or QQQ puts. — Maintains a downside thesis and proposes rotating bearish exposure into index puts.+0.8%
2026-08-24QQQ@Franktradinglog-0.65Keep the bearish trade and rotate part of IWM exposure into SPY or QQQ puts. — Maintains a downside thesis and proposes rotating bearish exposure into index puts.+1.4%
2026-08-24VIX@Franktradinglog+0.45Keep the bearish trade and rotate part of IWM exposure into SPY or QQQ puts. — Maintains a downside thesis and proposes rotating bearish exposure into index puts.·
2026-08-24IWM@Franktradinglog-0.35Keep the bearish trade and rotate part of IWM exposure into SPY or QQQ puts. — Maintains a downside thesis and proposes rotating bearish exposure into index puts.-0.7%
2026-08-24·@Franktradinglog·Expects peaked long yields and a short-covering rally in long-duration bonds.·
2026-08-24·@Franktradinglog·Expects peaked long yields and a violent short-covering rally in long bonds.·
2026-08-20WMT@Franktradinglog-0.20Says consumers going to Walmart is definitive evidence of trading down.-0.7%
2026-08-20AAPL@Franktradinglog+0.10Predicts AI overbuilding and models capable of serving most users on a Mac.+2.7%
2026-08-20·@Franktradinglog·Expresses pessimism about AI-related stocks despite believing AI technology itself is strong.·
2026-08-20QQQ@Franktradinglog+0.15Long QQQ versus short IWM; await confirmation to short QQQ or SMH outright. — Lays out equity pair trades and conditional outright shorts after confirmation.+0.8%
2026-08-20SMH@Franktradinglog-0.70Long QQQ versus short IWM; await confirmation to short QQQ or SMH outright. — Lays out equity pair trades and conditional outright shorts after confirmation.-1.7%

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.