Author
@garcapital garcapital
grade Cx.com/garcapital ↗
Fast-relay desk for Hormuz/oil geopolitics and AI mega-cap macro newsflow
Aggregates and relays real-time geopolitical, energy, centra
trader score
-0.31
hit rate
50%
mean α
-0.15%
signals 14d
381
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Across their last 20 scored bets: 50% hit rate, -0.15% mean alpha, trader score -0.31. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +0.2% since posting (mean over 103 mentions with price data).
Recent signals15receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | · | @garcapital | · | Reports Brent crude settling at $109.86, up $3.94 or 3.72%. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | · | @garcapital | · | Treasury reports the fiscal 2026 federal budget deficit was nearly $2 trillion. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | · | @garcapital | · | Reports Brent futures reaching $110 for the first time since May 20. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | · | @garcapital | · | Reports settlement prices and daily gains for WTI, natural gas, gasoline and diesel futures. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | · | @garcapital | · | Reports September and annual U.S. budget deficits, with fiscal 2026 worse than fiscal 2025. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | · | @garcapital | · | Treasury reports a larger FY2026 deficit, lower customs receipts and record debt interest. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | · | @garcapital | · | Reports projectile and drone strikes on two tankers on October 16 and October 14. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | VIX | @garcapital | +0.65 | Reports VIX at a four-month high of 21.41, up 4.97 points. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | QQQ | @garcapital | -0.30 | Reports QQQ down 2% intraday. | -0.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | QQQ | @garcapital | -0.30 | Reports the Nasdaq 100 extending its decline to 2%. | -0.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | · | @garcapital | · | Reports a quantified intraday rise in U.S. crude futures. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | · | @garcapital | · | Reports a quantified intraday rise in Brent crude. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | · | @garcapital | · | Reports U.S. crude rising above $100 per barrel. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | · | @garcapital | · | Reports Brent reaching a session high near $107. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | · | @garcapital | · | Reports a France-Germany agreement on European auto emissions and investment policy. | · | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.