Author

@garymarcus

trader score
-0.68
hit rate
40%
mean α
-0.29%
signals 14d
53

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 20 scored bets: 40% hit rate, -0.29% mean alpha, trader score -0.68. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -0.6% since posting (mean over 4 mentions with price data).

Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-08-28·@GaryMarcus·Argues Silicon Valley's insular decision-making has caused years of delay and potentially trillions in losses.·
2026-08-28·@GaryMarcus·Expresses distrust toward claims attributed to Sam Altman.·
2026-08-28·@GaryMarcus·Promotes a critical analysis of OpenAI's response to an attack involving Hugging Face.·
2026-08-28·@GaryMarcus·Mockingly criticizes spending billions on a stochastic AI vision.·
2026-08-28NVDA@GaryMarcus-0.20Quantifies NVDA revenue and $366B of future commitments across supply, cloud, leases, investments, and capex.
2026-08-26·@GaryMarcus·Endorses a thesis that an escalating AI debt binge could damage the broader economy.·
2026-08-26META@GaryMarcus-0.40Criticizes Meta for repeatedly revisiting a strategy associated with Facebook M.+0.3%
2026-08-25·@GaryMarcus·Dismisses referenced robots as remote-controlled toys rather than genuinely autonomous systems.·
2026-08-25·@GaryMarcus·Expresses a strongly negative view of OpenAI based on reported personnel departures.·
2026-08-24·@GaryMarcus·Argues code interpreters validate a long-standing neurosymbolic AI framework.·
2026-08-24·@GaryMarcus·Calls a claim about deep learning's wall technically and historically misleading.·
2026-08-24·@GaryMarcus·Argues recent AI progress comes from symbolic additions to LLMs and remains domain-limited.·
2026-08-24·@GaryMarcus·Warns that escalation could have major fuel and fertilizer consequences.·
2026-08-24·@GaryMarcus·Says monthly doubling of token costs is economically unsustainable.·
2026-08-24·@GaryMarcus·Warns that a continuing US-Canada trade war would be economically disastrous for both countries.·

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.