trader score
-0.67
hit rate
55%
mean α
-0.75%
signals 14d
81
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Across their last 20 scored bets: 55% hit rate, -0.75% mean alpha, trader score -0.67. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +8.1% since posting (mean over 10 mentions with price data).
Recent signals15receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | CRWV | @GaryMarcus | -0.60 | Highlights weekly declines of 21% for CoreWeave and 25% for Anthropic's projected IPO valuation. | -11.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | · | @GaryMarcus | · | Characterizes generative AI as fizzling. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | · | @GaryMarcus | · | Declares the token-scaling approach to AI progress dead. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | · | @GaryMarcus | · | Attributes a file-loss incident partly to AI error and partly to inadequate human backups. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | · | @GaryMarcus | · | Suggests an unspecified outcome resulted from a naive user believing AI hype. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | · | @GaryMarcus | · | Warns that unreliable instruction following and weak common sense make AI systems broadly unsafe. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | · | @GaryMarcus | · | Argues Q3 AI growth slowed due to weaker token scaling and rising Chinese open-source competition. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | · | @GaryMarcus | · | States that generative AI harms many people's mental health. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | · | @GaryMarcus | · | Says neurosymbolic AI became ubiquitous, supporting an earlier prediction. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | · | @GaryMarcus | · | Argues an unspecified exponential growth curve is flattening into a sigmoid. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | DELL | @GaryMarcus | +0.00 | Says CoreWeave fell more than Dell and questions the referenced chart. | -10.1% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | CRWV | @GaryMarcus | -0.45 | Says CoreWeave fell more than Dell and questions the referenced chart. | -17.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | CRWV | @GaryMarcus | -0.80 | Declares that CoreWeave has entered a death watch, expressing strongly bearish sentiment. | -17.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | · | @GaryMarcus | · | Highlights the possible popping of the AI bubble. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | ORCL | @GaryMarcus | -0.50 | Reports CRWV near its 52-week low after a 20% weekly fall and notes ORCL also sharply lower. | -3.4% | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.